Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: UPBD)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0000933036
Market Cap 1.11 Bn
P/B 1.62
P/E 13.14
P/S 0.24
ROIC (Qtr) 6.46
Div Yield % 9.83
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 8.97
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.83 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.67

About

Upbound Group, Inc., or UPBD, is a prominent player in the lease-to-own industry, with operations in the United States, Puerto Rico, and Mexico. The company's mission is to enhance financial opportunities for all and expand its business through key initiatives such as customer base expansion, data analytics utilization, and technology platform enhancement. UPBD's primary revenue sources are its Rent-A-Center and Acima segments. Rent-A-Center operates company-owned lease-to-own stores in the United States and Puerto Rico, offering a wide range of...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 140.63M exceeds capital expenditure of 61.41M by 2.29x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 1.02B represent substantial 1.49x of equity 687.30M, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 202.04M provides strong 3.29x coverage of capital expenditure 61.41M, enabling organic growth.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.36B provides 2.77x coverage of intangibles 851.96M, indicating robust asset quality.
  • Free cash flow of 140.63M provides solid 0.59x coverage of operating expenses 237M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 202.04M barely covers its investment activities of (389.05M), with a coverage ratio of -0.52, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 202.04M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (85.97M) with a -2.35 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 107.02M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (279.08M), which is -0.38x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 202.04M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 43.62M, with a 4.63 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 243.01M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.49B, with a 0.16 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.89 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.11 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.56 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.73 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 1.64 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.27 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.57 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.62 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.62 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 13.14 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.98 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 127.80 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.56 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 64.22 2.52
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.20 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 0.03 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 25.83 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 5.41 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 8.32 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.11 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -8.28 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -11.95 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 1.34 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 64.31 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.21 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.43 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.33 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 3.75
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.67 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.20 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.20 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.80 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 5.31 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 2.90 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 47.90 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.80 -121.65