Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ: TW)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Capital Markets CIK: 0001758730
Market Cap 22.32 Bn
P/B 3.55
P/E 35.43
P/S 11.19
ROIC (Qtr) 9.71
Div Yield % 0.55
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 13.29
Total Debt (Qtr) 135.63 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.02

About

Tradeweb Markets Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol TW, operates in the electronic trading industry, specifically for fixed income, credit, and other securities. The company's main business activities involve constructing and managing electronic marketplaces, providing trading solutions, and generating revenue through transaction fees and subscription-based services. Tradeweb's operations span across multiple countries and regions, with a global presence and a client base of over 2,500 institutional, wholesale, and retail clients. The...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.09B provides robust 8.06x coverage of total debt 135.63M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B provides exceptional 518.11x coverage of interest expenses 2.11M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 987.48M exceeds capital expenditure of 106.24M by 9.29x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B provides strong 11.09x coverage of stock compensation 98.59M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.39B provides 25x coverage of total debt 135.63M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B barely covers its investment activities of (138.01M), with a coverage ratio of -7.92, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (98.09M) with a -11.15 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B is outpaced by equity issuance of (35.51M) (-30.80 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 223.33M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Fixed assets of 196.92M showing 0.78x ratio to depreciation of 252.95M indicates aging infrastructure requiring significant near-term capital investment.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Capital Markets
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc 284.23 Bn 17.94 4.84 911.32 Bn
2 MS Morgan Stanley 279.63 Bn 17.97 4.05 353.12 Bn
3 SCHW Schwab Charles Corp 179.33 Bn 23.09 7.83 27.59 Bn
4 HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. 106.92 Bn 48.73 25.43 0.00 Bn
5 CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. 40.97 Bn 261.00 24.22 0.15 Bn
6 IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. 28.23 Bn 30.79 4.75 28.43 Bn
7 LPLA LPL Financial Holdings Inc. 27.60 Bn 33.13 1.77 7.52 Bn
8 FUTU Futu Holdings Ltd 22.89 Bn 18.13 8.54 1.75 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.59 1.07
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 18.95 15.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 152.79 21.89
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 24.49 -0.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 19.63 11.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.99 43.08
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.93 -0.05
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 10.39 12.82
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.55 3.09
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 35.43 6.20
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 6.42 4.22
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 15.60 10.37
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.46 0.70
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 9.94 -8.68
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 400.91 37.53
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -68.36 -12,429.64
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 62.50 1,588.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 17.95 4.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 39.80 270.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 26.33 333.57
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 35.48 3,103.22
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 36.09 3,039.53
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 40.48 24.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 23.84 -80.08
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 24.81 51.33
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.25 0.42
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.08 -0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 2.01
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 3.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.02 1.46
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 400.91 37.53
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 400.91 37.53
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 55.10 76.68
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 42.43 46.81
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 42.32 58.57
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 66.70 53.60
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 31.60 29.41