TPG Inc. (NASDAQ: TPG)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Asset Management CIK: 0001880661
Market Cap 9.73 Bn
P/B 8.21
P/E 52.70
P/S 2.08
ROIC (Qtr) 15.09
Div Yield % 4.22
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 38.54
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.33 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.96
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About

TPG Inc., commonly known as TPG, is a leading global alternative asset manager that specializes in private equity, credit, real estate, and public market strategies. As of December 31, 2023, the company had $221.6 billion in assets under management (AUM), making it a significant player in the industry. TPG has built its firm over 30 years of successful innovation and growth, delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns to its clients and establishing a premier investment business focused on the fastest-growing segments of both the alternative asset...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.03B provides robust 0.44x coverage of total debt 2.33B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 12.33B provides 5.30x coverage of total debt 2.33B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1B exceeds capital expenditure of 28.80M by 34.84x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.03B provides strong 7.14x coverage of operating expenses 144.54M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Free cash flow of 1B provides exceptional 8.95x coverage of interest expense 112.11M, showing strong debt service ability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.03B barely covers its investment activities of (263.96M), with a coverage ratio of -3.91, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.03B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.23B) with a -0.84 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 839.27M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (235.15M), which is -3.57x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 1.03B shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 813.74M, with a 1.27 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 363.69M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 201.01M, with a 1.81 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Asset Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BLK BlackRock, Inc. 199.59 Bn 85.40 21.98 15.04 Bn
2 BN BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 103.94 Bn 31.52 5.64 262.97 Bn
3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc 88.69 Bn 55.02 7.20 5.89 Bn
4 BX Blackstone Inc. 88.51 Bn 49.39 10.93 12.89 Bn
5 KKR KKR & Co. Inc. 55.86 Bn 28.33 13.23 53.12 Bn
6 STT State Street Corp 46.52 Bn 21.77 3.91 34.72 Bn
7 NTRS Northern Trust Corp 34.14 Bn 33.31 6.71 15.64 Bn
8 RJF Raymond James Financial Inc 32.89 Bn 37.63 4.14 5.10 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.82 0.94
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 10.69 41.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.74 15.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 30.34 23.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 12.41 47.80
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 10.99 38.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.13 7.81
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.36 27.38
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 8.21 2.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 52.70 11.81
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.15 4.66
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 222.50 -5.56
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.98 1.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 27.40 49.83
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.24 25.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -2.39 -35.10
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 2.20 15.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 20.00 1.65
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 426.58 -90.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 390.50 35.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 123.01 -22.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 232.89 -163.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -20.61
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 99.12 220.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 110.69 -53.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.35 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.16 0.36
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.38
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.86
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.96 0.70
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.24 25.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.24 25.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 12.10 -114.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.79 -127.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 5.39 -150.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 32.90 67.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.00 -148.68