Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ: STX)

Sector: Technology Industry: Computer Hardware CIK: 0001137789
Market Cap 58.67 Bn
P/B -931.34
P/E 34.25
P/S 6.14
ROIC (Qtr) 41.17
Div Yield % 1.31
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 21.26
Total Debt (Qtr) 4.99 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -79.27

About

Seagate Technology Holdings plc, known by its stock symbol STX, is a prominent player in the data storage technology and infrastructure solutions industry. The company specializes in hard disk drives (HDDs), solid-state drives (SSDs), and storage subsystems, offering a range of solutions designed to cater to the varying needs of enterprises and individual users. Seagate's operations span across numerous countries, providing storage technology that enables users to securely store and access their data. The company's revenue is primarily generated...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 1.22B exceeds capital expenditure of 301M by 4.05x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.52B provides 2.64x coverage of SG&A expenses 576M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Retained earnings of (7.83B) represent substantial 124.37x of equity (63M), indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B fully covers other non-current liabilities 890M by 1.71x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Tangible assets of 7.22B provide robust 7.62x coverage of other current liabilities 948M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B barely covers its investment activities of (298M), with a coverage ratio of -5.10, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (606M) with a -2.51 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (298M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 729M, which is -0.41x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 1.11B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (48M), which is -23.17x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High financing cash flow of (1.35B) relative to working capital of (85M), which is 15.87x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Computer Hardware
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ANET Arista Networks, Inc. 164.72 Bn 49.07 19.50 0.00 Bn
2 DELL Dell Technologies Inc. 86.37 Bn 16.20 0.83 31.24 Bn
3 WDC Western Digital Corp 60.34 Bn 23.73 5.03 4.68 Bn
4 STX Seagate Technology Holdings plc 58.67 Bn 34.25 6.14 4.99 Bn
5 SNDK Sandisk Corp 34.41 Bn -19.78 4.42 1.35 Bn
6 PSTG Pure Storage, Inc. 21.84 Bn 167.52 6.27 0.23 Bn
7 HPQ Hp Inc 21.10 Bn 8.34 0.38 9.67 Bn
8 SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. 17.45 Bn 22.01 0.83 4.78 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 7.44 2.06
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 41.30 -0.65
EV to Debt EV to Debt 12.57 56.37
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 29.52 2.89
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 25.73 -1.74
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 51.50 -7.44
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.07 7.64
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.57 78.30
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -931.34 -28.73
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 34.25 6.39
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.83 1.25
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 35.80 12.30
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.88 0.27
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 50.32 7.93
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.73 -105.42
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -41.98 -11.38
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -10.25 867.36
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 2.86 4.71
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 78.65 -189.41
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 97.41 -40.76
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 71.39 -117.00
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 99.45 -116.68
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 104.58 -70.06
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 80.86 712.64
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 67.68 34.90
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.13 0.80
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.33 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 7.26
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.98 13.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -79.27 -3.57
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.73 -105.42
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.73 -105.42
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 25.00 -629.92
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 22.25 -683.67
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 18.95 -687.58
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 36.90 34.79
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 17.90 -692.43