Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ: STX)

Sector: Technology Industry: Computer Hardware CIK: 0001137789
Market Cap 86.72 Bn
P/B 188.94
P/E 44.02
P/S 8.62
ROIC (Qtr) 43.02
Div Yield % 0.72
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 21.51
Total Debt (Qtr) 4.50 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 9.80

About

Seagate Technology Holdings plc, known by its stock symbol STX, is a prominent player in the data storage technology and infrastructure solutions industry. The company specializes in hard disk drives (HDDs), solid-state drives (SSDs), and storage subsystems, offering a range of solutions designed to cater to the varying needs of enterprises and individual users. Seagate's operations span across numerous countries, providing storage technology that enables users to securely store and access their data. The company's revenue is primarily generated...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 2.02B provides robust 0.45x coverage of total debt 4.50B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.68B exceeds capital expenditure of 347M by 4.83x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 2.02B provides 3.49x coverage of SG&A expenses 580M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 7.49B provides 16.71x coverage of working capital 448M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.02B fully covers other non-current liabilities 987M by 2.05x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 2.02B barely covers its investment activities of (344M), with a coverage ratio of -5.88, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.02B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (612M) with a -3.30 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (344M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 732M, which is -0.47x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 1.05B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (48M), which is -21.79x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 1.68B represents just -1.42x of debt issuance (1.18B), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Computer Hardware
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ANET Arista Networks, Inc. 161.76 Bn 48.19 19.15 0.00 Bn
2 WDC Western Digital Corp 89.78 Bn 23.98 8.36 4.66 Bn
3 STX Seagate Technology Holdings plc 86.72 Bn 44.02 8.62 4.50 Bn
4 SNDK Sandisk Corp 82.62 Bn -79.37 9.25 0.60 Bn
5 DELL Dell Technologies Inc. 79.17 Bn 14.85 0.76 31.24 Bn
6 HPQ Hp Inc 23.90 Bn 5.91 0.38 9.67 Bn
7 PSTG Pure Storage, Inc. 20.95 Bn 160.70 6.01 0.23 Bn
8 SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. 18.39 Bn 23.20 0.87 4.78 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 10.41 2.06
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 44.81 3.18
EV to Debt EV to Debt 20.14 40.92
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 36.65 0.75
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 32.36 -4.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 54.09 -6.71
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.04 10.14
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 9.01 51.74
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 188.94 7.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 44.02 5.08
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.22 1.24
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 31.50 12.08
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.90 0.28
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 37.40 7.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8.13 -104.92
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -40.49 -11.48
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -15.51 858.75
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 2.84 4.71
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 50.74 -121.75
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 74.89 -42.53
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 54.98 -106.02
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 71.79 -106.95
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 64.46 -95.89
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 142.40 667.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 52.37 34.00
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.16 0.80
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.26 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 7.27
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.12 13.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 9.80 -0.79
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8.13 -104.92
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8.13 -104.92
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 27.20 -629.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 24.58 -682.80
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 21.55 -686.71
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 38.60 35.17
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 19.60 -691.59