Nuscale Power
NYSE: SMR
$8.09 ▼ -0.72  (-8.17%)
At close: Jul 24, 2026 · 4:03 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
Market Cap2.59 Bn
P/E-3.80
P/S138.72
Div. Yield0.00
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About

NuScale is redefining nuclear power through the development of proprietary and innovative small modular reactor technology that the company believes will deliver safe scalable cost effective and reliable carbon free power. The company’s core technology the Light Water Nuclear Reactor NuScale Power Module can generate 77 megawatts electric and is based on well established nuclear technology principles with a focus on integration of components simplification or elimination…

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Sector: Industrials Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery CIK: 0001822966

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • NuScale’s regulatory edge is a material advantage that the market is not fully pricing in. The company holds the only U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Standard Design Approval under the modern Part 52 framework for two distinct module sizes, a feat no competitor has matched. This approval provides a single combined license that resolves major safety and design questions before any capital is spent on site, drastically reducing development risk compared to the traditional Part 50 route that requires multiple reviews and can lead to costly delays. Because the NRC has validated the design, future projects can reference the approved baseline, allowing NuScale to move faster from agreement to construction while competitors still navigate uncertain licensing paths.
  • The firm’s fuel strategy removes a critical supply chain exposure that peers still face. NuScale Power Modules operate on low enriched uranium, a commodity with mature global production and multiple qualified suppliers, including Framatome sites in the United States and Europe. In contrast, many advanced reactor concepts depend on high assay low enriched uranium, a fuel that lacks commercial scale availability in North America and is subject to geopolitical constraints. By relying on widely available fuel, NuScale eliminates a potential bottleneck that could stall rival projects and gives it a smoother path to meet customer timelines for baseload power delivery.
  • Modular factory fabrication gives NuScale a deployment flexibility that translates into faster revenue recognition and lower construction risk. Each module is a fully integrated self contained unit built in a factory and shipped to the site with minimal nuclear grade field work, enabling plug and play scalability as load grows. This approach allows early units to generate revenue while additional modules are being fabricated, creating a cash flow profile that improves with each added block. The redundancy and regulator validated design further enhance reliability, making the technology attractive to utilities and industrial customers that need resilient power without prolonged construction timelines.
  • Recent macro developments signal a strong tailwind that management highlighted but the market may be underestimating. The U.S. Department of Energy is preparing a financing initiative to help utilities secure long lead components such as reactor vessels and steam generators, which could shorten build times for nuclear projects. Simultaneously, the United States Japan framework and Korean legislative actions are earmarking hundreds of billions of dollars for strategic industries including nuclear power, AI and semiconductors, creating a pool of sovereign backed capital that could be directed toward NuScale led projects like the TVA ENTRA1 arrangement. These financing mechanisms, combined with the company’s existing liquidity exceeding one billion dollars, reduce the funding risk that often hinders first of a kind nuclear deployments.
  • NuScale’s ability to deliver high temperature steam opens a large addressable market in hard to abate sectors that the market has not fully valued. The company’s technology can provide process heat for chemical production, petroleum refining, cement manufacturing and desalination, industries that together represent hundreds of billions of dollars in annual economic activity. By offering a zero carbon heat source that can be sited directly at the point of use, NuScale can capture premium pricing and long term off‑take agreements that are less sensitive to electricity price volatility. This diversification beyond pure power generation adds a resilient revenue stream that could accelerate profitability as industrial decarbonization mandates tighten worldwide.
▼ Bear case
  • Revenue generation remains minimal and highly contingent on securing definitive power purchase agreements, leaving the company exposed to execution delays. In the most recent quarter NuScale reported only six hundred thousand dollars in revenue, a sharp decline from the prior year’s thirteen point four million, reflecting the completion of earlier milestone work without new contracts. Until a binding PPA with TVA or another offtaker is signed, the firm will continue to rely on milestone payments and pre FEED services that are modest in scale and do not provide sustainable operating cash flow. The market may be overestimating the speed at which these large scale agreements will materialize given the complex negotiation timelines typical for utility scale power projects.
  • Supply chain readiness, while touted as a strength, still depends on a limited set of partners for critical long lead items, creating concentration risk. NuScale has secured commitments with Doosan Enerbility for module manufacturing and Framatome for fuel, but any disruption at these facilities, whether due to labor issues, geopolitical tensions, or capacity constraints, could cascade into schedule slips. The firm’s multi sourcing strategy is still in early stages and has not yet been proven under the pressure of a full scale build program, leaving investors vulnerable to unforeseen bottlenecks that could erode the anticipated deployment cadence.
  • The economic case for NuScale’s technology remains sensitive to external cost pressures that management downplayed. While the company emphasizes the advantages of low enriched uranium and behind the meter siting, it did not fully address how fluctuating commodity prices, logistics expenses, and potential tariff changes could affect the overall capital cost of a project. Recent trade policy shifts have introduced uncertainty around the cost of imported components and materials, which could offset the savings from dry cooling or modular fabrication. If input costs rise sharply, the projected competitiveness of NuScale derived power versus renewables or natural gas may deteriorate, dampening customer enthusiasm.
  • Strategic focus on a few flagship opportunities creates concentration risk in the growth narrative. Management repeatedly highlighted the TVA ENTRA1 and RoPower projects as primary near term catalysts, suggesting that much of the anticipated upside hinges on the success of these two initiatives. Should either encounter setbacks, whether financing delays, regulatory pushback, or shifts in partner priorities, the company’s pipeline would lack sufficient diversification to sustain growth expectations. The reliance on a narrow set of partners also raises concerns about bargaining power and the ability to secure favorable terms in future negotiations.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Specialty Industrial Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 GEV GE Vernova Inc. 270.93 Bn28.466.552.79 Bn
2 ETN Eaton Corp plc 156.55 Bn39.195.5021.05 Bn
3 PH Parker-Hannifin Corp 124.04 Bn35.645.919.58 Bn
4 CMI Cummins Inc 91.66 Bn34.292.706.89 Bn
5 EMR Emerson Electric Co 82.90 Bn67.344.5313.36 Bn
6 ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc 81.54 Bn26.025.039.15 Bn
7 AME Ametek Inc/ 55.40 Bn36.267.292.18 Bn
8 ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc 51.78 Bn53.055.883.69 Bn