Cummins Inc (NYSE: CMI)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery CIK: 0000026172
Market Cap 82.13 Bn
P/B 6.65
P/E 28.89
P/S 2.44
ROIC (Qtr) 13.95
Div Yield % 1.28
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.05
Total Debt (Qtr) 7.55 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.61
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About

Cummins Inc. (CMI), a global power leader, operates in the powertrain industry, designing, manufacturing, distributing, and servicing diesel, natural gas, electric, and hybrid powertrains and powertrain-related components. The company's main business activities include the design, manufacture, and distribution of a wide range of products, such as axles, drivelines, brakes, and suspension systems for commercial diesel and natural gas applications, as well as engines, generators, and power systems for various industries. Cummins Inc. operates in...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 3.62B provides robust 0.48x coverage of total debt 7.55B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 2.85B provide 3.74x coverage of short-term debt 760M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 29.60B provides 3.92x coverage of total debt 7.55B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.62B provides exceptional 31.76x coverage of minority interest expenses 114M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.62B provides exceptional 11.01x coverage of interest expenses 329M, showing strong debt service capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 3.62B barely covers its investment activities of (1.73B), with a coverage ratio of -2.09, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (1.73B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 1.40B, which is -1.24x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.62B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.05B) with a -3.43 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 2.85B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (12M), which is -237.08x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.62B provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 2.66B, which is 1.36x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Industrial Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GEV GE Vernova Inc. 224.93 Bn 194.57 6.14 0.00 Bn
2 ETN Eaton Corp plc 153.13 Bn 38.99 5.75 11.22 Bn
3 PH Parker-Hannifin Corp 135.87 Bn 165.29 12.09 9.87 Bn
4 EMR Emerson Electric Co 111.68 Bn 47.10 4.65 13.41 Bn
5 ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc 86.68 Bn 28.27 5.40 8.97 Bn
6 CMI Cummins Inc 82.13 Bn 28.89 2.44 7.55 Bn
7 AME Ametek Inc/ 53.79 Bn 36.34 7.27 2.28 Bn
8 ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc 43.80 Bn 44.24 5.11 3.68 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.56 2.28
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.07 37.14
EV to Debt EV to Debt 11.54 34.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 20.87 27.71
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 18.70 25.34
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 36.54 133.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.06 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.59 39.88
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.65 6.22
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 28.89 143.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.69 2.57
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 37.10 15.73
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 7.64 0.91
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 44.20 82.53
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 12.70 12.34
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -2.24 -45.99
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 70.26 118.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 9.14 10.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -27.41 -283.03
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 5.45 -36.87
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -18.89 -80.72
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -19.49 -120.93
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -27.78 -39.22
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 755.20 85.55
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 0.91 0.87
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.99 0.62
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.22 0.10
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.30 3.01
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.76 4.97
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.61 0.38
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 12.70 12.34
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 12.70 12.34
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.70 -7,291.27
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.41 -7,413.30
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.43 -9,015.79
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 25.30 -32.61
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.40 -7,962.06