Simply Good Foods Co (NASDAQ: SMPL)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0001702744
Market Cap 1.55 Bn
P/B 0.89
P/E 17.04
P/S 1.07
ROIC (Qtr) 4.99
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -0.31
Total Debt (Qtr) 396.74 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.23
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About

The Simply Good Foods Company, often referred to as SMPL, is a prominent player in the consumer packaged food and beverage industry, specializing in nutritious snacking products. The company boasts two primary brands, Quest and Atkins, which offer a diverse range of protein-rich, low-carbohydrate, and low-sugar products. Quest leads the protein bar category, while Atkins enjoys a strong reputation in the low-carbohydrate diet space. SMPL's operations span across multiple business activities, primarily focusing on the production and distribution...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 196.53M provides robust 0.50x coverage of total debt 396.74M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 196.53M provides strong 13.54x coverage of stock compensation 14.51M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 174.20M exceeds capital expenditure of 22.33M by 7.80x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 616.15M provide full 1.55x coverage of long-term debt 396.74M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Cash reserves of 194.05M provide ample 113.28x coverage of acquisition spending 1.71M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 196.53M barely covers its investment activities of (22.36M), with a coverage ratio of -8.79, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Retained earnings of 616.15M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (2.65M), which is -232.07x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 196.53M is outpaced by equity issuance of (146.53M) (-1.34 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Tangible assets of 603.01M provide limited backing for working capital of 411.22M, which is 1.47x, suggesting increased operational risk in market downturns.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 169.63M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.69 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.64 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.28 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.98 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.04 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 9.74 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.10 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.17 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.89 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 17.04 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 7.20 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -320.86 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 59.37 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -35.36 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -28.55 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -33.92 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -34.60 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -35.46 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -10.62 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.13 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.59 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.89 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 5.01 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.23 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 7.20 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 7.20 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 11.80 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.77 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.42 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 34.80 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.30 -1,538.60