Sifco Industries SIF

NYSE SIF
$20.77 -0.02 (-0.10%)
As of: Oct 19, 2026 · 3:59 PM EDT

Sifco Industries (SIF) stock price is $20.77, down 0.10% on the day, as of Oct 19, 2026. It has a market cap of $127.89Mn and a P/E ratio of 32.20, and is classified in the Defense industry (Industrials sector).

Key Stats
Market Cap127.89 Mn
P/E32.20
P/S1.29
Div. Yield0.00
Total Debt (Qtr)7.03 Mn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)18.33
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About

SIFCO Industries, Inc. specializes in the production of forgings, sub-assemblies, and machined components for the aerospace and energy markets. Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, the company operates as a precision manufacturer, delivering critical components primarily for aerospace, defense, energy, and commercial space applications. Its core activities include forging, heat-treating, chemical processing, and machining, with a focus on high-performance…

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Sector: Industrials Sector rationale Sifco Industries is a precision manufacturer of forged and machined components, sub-assemblies, and hardware for aerospace, defense, and energy markets. Its revenue is derived from selling these capital goods and industrial parts to OEMs and Tier 1/2 suppliers, which aligns directly with the Industrials sector's scope for aerospace, defense, and industrial machinery. Industries: +1 more Defense Defense Primary The company's primary revenue driver is military aerospace, which accounted for 56.5% of revenue in fiscal 2025. It supplies critical components for major defense programs including the H-60 Black Hawk, C-130, F-18, and F-35. Commercial Aerospace Commercial Aerospace Secondary The company generates 43.5% of its revenue from commercial aerospace, providing OEM and aftermarket components for aircraft produced by Boeing and Airbus. Metal Fabrication Metal Fabrication Secondary The company's core manufacturing process is the production of forgings, heat-treating, and machined components from steel, nickel alloys, titanium, and aluminum. Classified using BQ-MICS CIK: 0000090168
Bull & bear

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • SIF is positioned for sustained growth through strong demand in its core aerospace and defense markets, evidenced by a stable order backlog and increasing net sales, with Q2 FY26 revenue rising 39% year-over-year to $26.4 million and first-half sales increasing 26% to $50.4 million, indicating robust underlying demand that management is successfully converting into revenue despite macroeconomic uncertainty. The company's focus on engineering, quality, and continuous improvement is driving tangible operational gains, as highlighted by management's commentary on improved efficiency, cost control, and throughput, which directly contributed to a dramatic turnaround in profitability—Q2 FY26 operating profit reached $2.7 million versus a loss of $0.8 million in the prior year period, and first-half operating profit surged to $5.2 million from a loss of $2.7 million year-over-year. This operational leverage is further validated by Adjusted EBITDA, which jumped to $4.8 million in Q2 FY26 from a negative $0.2 million in Q2 FY25 and reached $8.7 million for the first half of FY26 versus a negative $0.4 million in the prior year period, demonstrating that the business model is inherently scalable and capable of generating significant cash flow as sales volume increases, with fixed costs being absorbed more effectively. The balance sheet reflects strengthening financial health, with total assets growing to $78.2 million as of March 31, 2026 from $73.4 million at September 30, 2025, driven by increases in receivables, contract assets, and inventories—all indicative of rising business activity—while shareholders' equity increased to $41.4 million from $36.9 million, reflecting retained earnings growth from consecutive profitable quarters. Crucially, the company has made meaningful progress in workforce stability despite skilled labor constraints, with recent hiring, training, and retention initiatives improving labor availability and supporting operational progress, which addresses a historically persistent bottleneck in the forging industry and positions SIF to capitalize on long-term aerospace production rate increases and defense spending trends without being held back by capacity limitations.
▼ Bear case
  • SIF's apparent recovery remains fragile and potentially overstated due to its heavy reliance on volatile LIFO inventory adjustments, which contributed $1.2 million to Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 FY26 and $1.2 million in the first half of FY26—meaning that without this non-cash, accounting-driven benefit, Adjusted EBITDA would have been significantly weaker at $3.6 million for the quarter and $7.5 million for the half-year, exposing the underlying operational profitability to material downside risk if inflation moderates or inventory levels stabilize, thereby reversing a key flattering factor in recent results. Despite top-line growth, the company continues to carry a high fixed-cost structure, as evidenced by selling, general, and administrative expenses rising 27% year-over-year in Q2 FY26 to $3.0 million and increasing 8% for the first half to $5.6 million, which suggests that cost discipline may be insufficient to sustain margins if demand growth slows or if the company faces renewed pressure to invest in capacity or workforce expansion to meet backlog requirements. The balance sheet reveals lingering financial fragility, with long-term operating lease liabilities remaining substantial at $11.7 million as of March 31, 2026, and pension liabilities still at $970,000, representing ongoing cash flow drains that are not reflected in Adjusted EBITDA but will require future funding, particularly if interest rates remain elevated or pension obligations require accelerated contributions. Furthermore, while management cites strong demand and a stable backlog, the news provides no specific metrics on backlog size, growth rate, or conversion timeline, leaving investors unable to assess whether the current sales momentum is sustainable or merely a temporary rebound from prior period lows, especially given the cyclical nature of aerospace end markets and the company's historical vulnerability to demand shocks, as seen in the deep losses reported in FY25 Q1 and Q2 when sales were significantly lower and losses were substantial. Finally, the company's dependence on the aerospace and energy markets—both subject to geopolitical volatility, regulatory shifts, and capital expenditure cycles—means that any downturn in commercial aircraft production rates, defense budget delays, or energy project cancellations could quickly erode the current backlog and sales trajectory, with limited diversification to cushion such shocks, making the current valuation potentially predicated on a best-case scenario that may not persist.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

History

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

History
Peer percentiles

How Sifco Industries ranks

Ranked against the 107 companies in Aerospace and Defense58 metrics · as of Oct 16, 2026

Valuation

12 metrics · Lower multiples rank higher; a negative multiple ranks last
  • P/E 32.9xMedian 25.4x 65th
  • P/FCF 39.4xMedian 24.6x 59th
  • P/Operating cash flow 32.6xMedian 21.4x 57th
  • P/S 1.34xMedian 3.13x 79th
  • P/B 3.21xMedian 2.36x 36th
  • P/Tangible book 3.21xMedian 2.86x 47th
  • EV/EBITDA 14.6xMedian 14.5x 69th
  • EV/EBIT 27.4xMedian 20.1x 64th
  • EV/Revenue 1.41xMedian 3.21x 80th
  • EV/FCF 41.4xMedian 26.7x 61st
  • EV/Operating cash flow 34.3xMedian 22.0x 54th
  • PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 1.02Median 1.02 50th
Peer group

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Defense
View all peers
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 GE General Electric Co 324.11 Bn36.126.4019.16 Bn
2 RTX RTX Corp 259.48 Bn33.532.7837.38 Bn
3 BA Boeing Co 151.52 Bn72.501.6145.90 Bn
4 LMT Lockheed Martin Corp 126.52 Bn20.121.6420.54 Bn
5 GD General Dynamics Corp 92.31 Bn20.571.687.52 Bn
6 HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. 88.22 Bn47.179.684.50 Bn
7 MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. 76.09 Bn35.666.229.03 Bn
8 SIF Sifco Industries Inc 0.13 Bn32.201.290.01 Bn