Simmons First National Corp (NASDAQ: SFNC)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0000090498
Market Cap 2.76 Bn
P/B 0.82
P/E -6.47
P/S -2,108.06
ROIC (Qtr) -10.24
Div Yield % 5.61
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -457.41
Total Debt (Qtr) 690.16 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.21

About

Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) is a financial holding company that operates in the banking industry, with its headquarters in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. The company has total consolidated assets of $27.3 billion, total consolidated loans of $16.8 billion, total consolidated deposits of $22.2 billion, and equity capital of $3.4 billion as of December 31, 2023. Simmons First National Corp offers a variety of financial products and services, including commercial and industrial loans, consumer loans, mortgages, and deposit products, through its subsidiary...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 416.70M provides robust 0.60x coverage of total debt 690.16M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 22.80B provides 33.04x coverage of total debt 690.16M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 416.70M provides strong 27.85x coverage of stock compensation 14.96M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 377.98M exceeds capital expenditure of 38.73M by 9.76x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash reserves of 643.62M provide ample 38.78x coverage of acquisition spending 16.59M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 416.70M barely covers its investment activities of 2.28B, with a coverage ratio of 0.18, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 416.70M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (110.67M) with a -3.77 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 416.70M provides minimal -2.97x coverage of tax expenses of (140.32M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (567.63M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 42.20M, with a -13.45 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 377.98M represents just -0.49x of debt issuance (771.53M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.13 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.56 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.57 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -5.55 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -6.00 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 8.34 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.14 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev -2,403.69 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.82 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -6.47 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -3.86 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -28.90 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.85 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 32.43 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 6.60 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 6.66 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 2.05 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -433.11 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -386.34 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -515.26 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -515.26 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -384.47 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -47.66 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -100.19 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.24 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.21 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 40,078.10 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 43,297.41 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 43,297.41 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 32,594.40 115.63