Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Retail CIK: 0000745732
Market Cap 58.85 Bn
P/B 10.00
P/E 28.21
P/S 2.67
ROIC (Qtr) 18.00
Div Yield % 1.11
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.44
Total Debt (Qtr) 5.19 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.88

About

Ross Stores, Inc., popularly known as ROST, is a major player in the off-price apparel and home fashion retail sector in the United States. The company boasts an impressive store network of 2,109 outlets spread across 43 states, the District of Columbia, and Guam, operating under two brands: Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. Ross Stores' business model revolves around selling brand-name and designer merchandise at significantly lower prices than conventional department and specialty stores. The company's product range includes apparel, footwear,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 2.79B provides robust 0.54x coverage of total debt 5.19B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 4.06B provide 3.32x coverage of short-term debt 1.22B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.79B provides strong 16.67x coverage of stock compensation 167.27M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 15.41B provides 2.97x coverage of total debt 5.19B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 2.05B exceeds capital expenditure of 741.71M by 2.76x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 2.79B barely covers its investment activities of (741.71M), with a coverage ratio of -3.76, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.79B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (518.42M) with a -5.38 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 2.05B represents just -2.92x of debt issuance (700M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.79B is outpaced by equity issuance of (1.10B) (-2.52 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Cash position of 4.06B provides only -28.93x coverage of interest expenses of (140.40M), indicating potential refinancing risks in a rising rate environment.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Apparel Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TJX Tjx Companies Inc /De/ 175.80 Bn 34.34 2.98 13.19 Bn
2 ROST Ross Stores, Inc. 58.85 Bn 28.21 2.67 5.19 Bn
3 LULU lululemon athletica inc. 25.43 Bn 14.61 2.30 1.76 Bn
4 BURL Burlington Stores, Inc. 18.26 Bn 32.57 1.63 5.94 Bn
5 GAP Gap Inc 10.00 Bn 11.75 0.65 5.52 Bn
6 URBN Urban Outfitters Inc 7.11 Bn 14.53 1.18 1.18 Bn
7 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ 6.17 Bn 11.82 1.19 1.13 Bn
8 BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. 5.78 Bn 27.75 2.79 0.67 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.90 1.35
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 21.55 8.18
EV to Debt EV to Debt 11.58 4.33
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 22.89 -60.97
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 19.28 6.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.36 22.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 2.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.73 1.11
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 10.00 3.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 28.21 195.16
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.02 0.88
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 24.60 12.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.62 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 25.44 16.33
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -18.69 13.58
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -0.71 -5.40
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -6.62 89.63
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 10.20 1.25
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 0.31 13.95
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 2.26 -16.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 0.99 10.85
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -0.65 6.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.78 10.94
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 21.30 -129.32
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.03 -1.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.43 1.40
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.15 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.81 0.38
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.52 1.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.88 1.31
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -18.69 13.58
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -18.69 13.58
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 14.10 2.72
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 11.91 -1.70
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 12.55 -2.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 27.50 40.52
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.50 -4.02