Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (NYSE: RGR)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Aerospace & Defense CIK: 0000095029
Market Cap 690.75 Mn
P/B 2.47
P/E 265.57
P/S 1.28
ROIC (Qtr) 1.13
Div Yield % 1.96
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.66
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.27 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00

About

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc., often simply referred to as Ruger, is a significant player in the firearms industry in the United States. Established in 1949, the company has its headquarters in Southport, Connecticut. Ruger's primary business activities revolve around the design, manufacture, and sale of firearms, including rifles, pistols, and revolvers. These products are distributed in the United States and other international markets, serving both the commercial sporting market and law enforcement agencies, as well as the military. Ruger's revenue...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 58.79M provides robust 46.32x coverage of total debt 1.27M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 342.32M provides 269.76x coverage of total debt 1.27M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 58.79M provides strong 12.21x coverage of stock compensation 4.81M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 42.52M exceeds capital expenditure of 16.26M by 2.62x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 58.79M provides exceptional 646x coverage of interest expenses 91000, showing strong debt service capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 58.79M barely covers its investment activities of (7.58M), with a coverage ratio of -7.76, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 16.08M against inventory of 54.64M, the 0.29 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 58.79M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (11.32M) with a -5.19 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Short-term investments of 64.76M significantly exceed cash reserves of 16.08M, which is 4.03x, indicating potentially excessive yield-seeking behavior at the expense of liquidity.
  • Operating cash flow of 58.79M provides minimal -43.61x coverage of tax expenses of (1.35M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Aerospace & Defense
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GE General Electric Co 342.94 Bn 42.54 7.80 20.84 Bn
2 RTX RTX Corp 252.05 Bn 38.24 2.93 40.71 Bn
3 BA Boeing Co 174.43 Bn -17.16 2.16 53.35 Bn
4 LMT Lockheed Martin Corp 126.61 Bn 30.15 1.73 22.19 Bn
5 GD General Dynamics Corp 95.62 Bn 22.69 1.86 8.01 Bn
6 NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ 89.30 Bn 22.22 2.18 16.96 Bn
7 HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. 88.16 Bn 60.80 11.05 3.19 Bn
8 TDG TransDigm Group INC 80.97 Bn 43.39 9.17 30.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.95 3.58
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.38 58.38
EV to Debt EV to Debt 527.12 98.04
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 497.70 19.42
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 38.17 33.60
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 15.73 91.66
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.97 1.13
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.24 11.27
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.47 4.81
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 265.57 31.79
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.23 -3.75
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 492.90 22.95
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.69 0.70
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 26.01 14.15
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 14.77 -18.00
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 23.84 -50.32
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 113.75 1,609.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -8.00 0.75
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -90.83 -30.98
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -65.17 10.65
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -96.35 -26.90
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -96.59 -27.25
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -92.05 -99.21
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 38.36 6.61
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -23.00 -5.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.58 0.51
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.15 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 1.76
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.54 3.72
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 14.77 -18.00
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 14.77 -18.00
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 4.30 -345.84
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 0.25 -382.63
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.23 -387.93
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 16.20 -33.31
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 0.50 -389.13