Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ: PTLO)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Restaurants CIK: 0001871509
Market Cap 299.11 Mn
P/B 0.65
P/E 12.21
P/S 0.41
ROIC (Qtr) -161.22
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.78
Total Debt (Qtr) 655.31 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.43

About

Portillo's Inc., or PTLO, is a prominent player in the fast-casual restaurant industry, known for its Chicago street food offerings. The company's operations are centered on serving a variety of Chicago-style menu items, including hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, and char-grilled burgers, all prepared with high-quality ingredients. Portillo's has a unique approach to restaurant design, aiming to evoke nostalgia through themed décor, period music, and a layout that accommodates different access modes such as dine-in, carryout, delivery, and catering. The...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 74.83M provides exceptional 27.23x coverage of minority interest expenses 2.75M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 74.83M provides strong 12.04x coverage of stock compensation 6.22M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 950.45M provide exceptional 216.31x coverage of deferred revenue 4.39M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 74.83M provides strong 17.03x coverage of deferred revenue 4.39M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Tangible assets of 950.45M provide robust 19.29x coverage of other current liabilities 49.28M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 74.83M barely covers its investment activities of (89.76M), with a coverage ratio of -0.83, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • High receivables of 18.85M relative to inventory of 9.22M (2.04 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (14.93M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 89.76M, with a -0.17 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 53.36M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 28.06M, with a 1.90 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of (14.93M) represents just -0.76x of debt issuance 19.55M, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Restaurants
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MCD Mcdonalds Corp 222.05 Bn 26.39 8.45 55.82 Bn
2 SBUX Starbucks Corp 95.51 Bn 51.45 2.57 26.61 Bn
3 CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc 50.94 Bn 33.15 4.32 4.98 Bn
4 YUM Yum Brands Inc 43.17 Bn 29.83 5.36 11.55 Bn
5 QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. 22.43 Bn 24.33 2.42 15.64 Bn
6 DRI Darden Restaurants Inc 21.91 Bn 19.91 1.77 6.16 Bn
7 YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. 18.12 Bn 20.05 1.57 1.84 Bn
8 DPZ Dominos Pizza Inc 14.57 Bn 24.72 3.01 5.05 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.57 2.05
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.20 16.57
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.39 4.75
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 17.10 3.45
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.95 9.76
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -61.13 29.06
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 3.05 6.55
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.25 2.40
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.65 -1.40
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 12.21 13.35
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -9.56
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 18.72
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.84
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 30.41
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.30 -86.85
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3.53 -24.56
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -6.94 35.50
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.72
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -10.94 -564.81
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -10.74 25.78
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -6.54 -507.68
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -1.29 -41.98
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -13.64 -126.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -704.41 5,724.78
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -3.30 23.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.46 0.99
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.09 0.78
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 1.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.43 0.05
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.30 -86.85
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.30 -86.85
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 11.10 7.71
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.30 -2.27
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 4.13 -1.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 22.30 34.04
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.40 -3.69