Provident Financial Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: PROV)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001010470
Market Cap 105.86 Mn
P/B 0.82
P/E 17.54
P/S 2.66
ROIC (Qtr) 1.61
Div Yield % 4.39
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.54
Total Debt (Qtr) 213.07 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.66

About

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) is a financial services company that operates primarily through its subsidiary, Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. (the Bank), offering community banking, investment services, and trustee services for real estate transactions. The company is based in Riverside, California, and is regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Provident Savings Bank generates revenue primarily through interest earned on its loan and investment portfolios,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.23B provides 5.78x coverage of total debt 213.07M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 8.62M provides strong 17.49x coverage of stock compensation 493000, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 8.22M exceeds capital expenditure of 403000 by 20.39x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 213.16M represent substantial 1.66x of equity 128.37M, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 8.62M provides strong 2.02x coverage of operating expenses 4.27M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 8.62M barely covers its investment activities of 25.91M, with a coverage ratio of 0.33, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 8.62M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (3.73M) with a -2.31 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 8.92M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 3.39M, with a 2.63 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 8.22M represents just -0.23x of debt issuance (36.52M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 8.62M is outpaced by equity issuance of (4.04M) (-2.13 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.22 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 30.83 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.25 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 29.81 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 21.59 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 32.35 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.51 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.68 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.82 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 17.54 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.62 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 61.50 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.56 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 44.80 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 66.30 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 2.52 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -19.40 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -11.33 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -15.76 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -15.76 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -17.27 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 123.10 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 0.07 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.41 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.66 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 30.90 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 22.40 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 22.40 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 15.20 115.63