Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: PRCH)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0001784535
Market Cap 754.26 Mn
P/B -27.02
P/E 24.66
P/S 1.70
ROIC (Qtr) 20.74
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.19
Total Debt (Qtr) 387.13 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -13.87

About

Porch Group, Inc., ticker symbol PRCH, operates as a leading vertical software and insurance platform, serving as a trusted partner to help homebuyers move, maintain, and protect their homes. The company's main business activities encompass two reportable segments: the Vertical Software segment and the Insurance segment. The Vertical Software segment is responsible for providing software and services to inspection, mortgage, and title companies on a subscription and transactional basis. This segment operates several key businesses, including Inspection...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 192.80M provide 24.84x coverage of short-term debt 7.76M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 23.87M exceeds capital expenditure of 14.75M by 1.62x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Long-term investments of 216.75M provide solid 0.57x coverage of long-term debt 379.37M, indicating strategic financial planning.
  • Cash position of 192.80M provides exceptional 17.71x coverage of minority interest expenses 10.88M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 539.36M provides 18.50x coverage of working capital 29.16M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 38.62M barely covers its investment activities of (42.26M), with a coverage ratio of -0.91, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (42.26M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 51.72M, which is -0.82x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 38.62M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 208.08M, which is 0.19x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 38.62M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 28.06M, with a 1.38 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Long-term investments of 216.75M represent a high 7.63x of fixed assets 28.40M, indicating potential overexposure to financial assets versus operational capabilities.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 234.56 Bn 28.15 5.46 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 204.28 Bn 32.96 5.39 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 169.36 Bn 95.09 15.83 1.12 Bn
4 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 167.13 Bn 10.04 3.37 12.19 Bn
5 INTU Intuit Inc. 140.92 Bn 175.06 33.55 6.78 Bn
6 ADBE Adobe Inc. 124.98 Bn 17.53 5.26 6.65 Bn
7 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 121.03 Bn 69.24 9.11 2.40 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 100.13 Bn 23.64 4.72 4.37 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.22 2.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.87 12.27
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.48 50.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.41 10.96
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.83 16.84
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 40.24 14.08
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.27 -118.20
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.17 4.45
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -27.02 4.27
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 24.66 -133.65
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -3.97
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.54
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.75 -51.80
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -30.31 -210.77
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -11.02 9,906.83
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.62
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 415.20 -265.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 220.15 55.76
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 479.96 -227.83
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 156.05 -88.00
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 147.76 121.91
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 141.60 -40.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 62.42 92.11
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.56 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.21 3.77
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.34 8.19
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -13.87 0.16
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.75 -51.80
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.75 -51.80
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 24.50 -105.77
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 19.03 -131.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.17 -122.72
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 71.80 58.14
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.90 -127.70