PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE: PMT)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0001464423
Market Cap 1.10 Bn
P/B 0.58
P/E 13.66
P/S 3.41
ROIC (Qtr) 0.81
Div Yield % 15.91
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 22.71
Total Debt (Qtr) 16.27 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 8.66

About

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) is a specialty finance company that operates primarily in the mortgage-related assets sector. The company's main business activities encompass correspondent production, credit sensitive strategies, interest rate sensitive strategies, and corporate activities. These operations are carried out through PennyMac Operating Partnership, L.P., and its wholly-owned subsidiary, PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI). PMT's correspondent production segment is a significant contributor to its revenue, as it involves...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Free cash flow of (5.53B) provides excellent 39.66x coverage of dividends (139.37M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Cash position of 263.49M fully covers payables of 175.75M by 1.50x, showing strong vendor relationship management.
  • Tangible assets of 18.53B provide robust 1019.52x coverage of receivables 18.17M, showing strong asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (5.53B) barely covers its investment activities of 159M, with a coverage ratio of -34.77, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (5.53B) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 3.08M, with a -1792.47 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of (5.53B) barely covers operating expenses of 169.38M with a -32.64 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Free cash flow of (5.53B) represents just -1.01x of debt issuance 5.47B, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 143.83M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 13.98 Bn 10.42 8.17 107.02 Bn
2 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 11.44 Bn 16.65 30.74 95.01 Bn
3 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.55 Bn 17.88 3.63 21.43 Bn
4 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.78 Bn 7.43 1.16 34.97 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.36 Bn 31.37 6.62 15.46 Bn
6 ARR Armour Residential REIT, Inc. 1.83 Bn 34.78 15.64 16.56 Bn
7 DX Dynex Capital Inc 1.59 Bn 9.04 6.88 11.75 Bn
8 ABR Arbor Realty Trust Inc 1.50 Bn 9.84 2.84 10.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.83 0.83
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -2.76 -102.96
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.94 1.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 135.46 -260.73
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 135.46 -16.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -2.76 3.47
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 13.97 9.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 47.49 26.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.58 0.68
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 13.64 -4.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.44 -0.55
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 173.90 29.47
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.60 1.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -2.52 57.60
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 37.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -23.48 24.22
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 4.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -27.08 17.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -11.75 9.86
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -11.75 20.98
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -11.75 11.17
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -36.55 59.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -906.24 59.63
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 3.47 20.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.03 0.83
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 8.66 5.05
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 35.10 137.11
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 35.06 142.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 35.06 129.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 117.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 24.90 125.89