Provident Financial Services Inc (NYSE: PFS)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001178970
Market Cap 2.56 Bn
P/B 0.93
P/E 9.99
P/S 3.06
ROIC (Qtr) 4.66
Div Yield % 6.03
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.68
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.61 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.94

About

Provident Financial Services, Inc., also known as Provident Bank, is a Delaware corporation operating in the banking industry, with the ticker symbol PFS. The company's main business activities include originating various types of loans, such as commercial real estate loans, commercial business loans, residential mortgage loans, and consumer loans, among others. These activities are carried out in a network of 94 full-service banking offices throughout northern and central New Jersey, three counties in Pennsylvania, and two counties in New York. Provident...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 612.60M provides strong 54.52x coverage of stock compensation 11.24M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 24.04B provides 9.20x coverage of total debt 2.61B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 609.77M exceeds capital expenditure of 2.83M by 215.47x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 612.60M provides 1.78x coverage of SG&A expenses 344.83M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 612.60M provides strong 4.59x coverage of operating expenses 133.47M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 612.60M barely covers its investment activities of (1.14B), with a coverage ratio of -0.54, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 612.60M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (126.98M) with a -4.82 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 609.77M represents just -89.24x of debt issuance (6.83M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 1.10B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (87.24M), which is -12.63x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 344.83M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.20 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.29 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.94 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.17 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.95 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 8.33 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.98 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.07 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.93 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.99 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.02 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 48.20 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.96 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 20.55 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 34.99 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 23.57 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 171.70 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 150.25 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 183.10 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 183.10 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 89.52 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 166.21 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 59.19 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.21 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.94 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 50.80 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 42.85 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 42.85 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 30.60 115.63