PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Internet Retail CIK: 0001737806
Market Cap 149.89 Bn
P/B 2.73
P/E 10.44
P/S 2.55
ROIC (Qtr) 150.34
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 8.98
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.50 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.03

About

PDD Holdings Inc., commonly known as Pinduoduo, is a multinational commerce group operating in the e-commerce industry. With its headquarters in Ireland and a significant presence in China, Pinduoduo has established itself as one of the world's largest e-commerce platforms. Pinduoduo's main business activities focus on its e-commerce platforms, which offer buyers a comprehensive selection of value-for-money merchandise and engaging shopping experiences. The company's platforms, Pinduoduo and Temu, cater to a vast customer base, providing a wide...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 15.78B provides robust 10.53x coverage of total debt 1.50B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 22.95B provide 21.40x coverage of short-term debt 1.07B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 86.19B provides 57.50x coverage of total debt 1.50B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 15.65B exceeds capital expenditure of 135.76M by 115.25x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 86.19B provide exceptional 184.21x coverage of deferred revenue 467.92M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 15.78B barely covers its investment activities of (10.60B), with a coverage ratio of -1.49, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (10.60B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 2.15B, which is -4.94x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Short-term investments of 46.54B represent 1.12x of working capital 41.73B, suggesting potentially excessive financial asset allocation versus operational needs.
  • R&D investment of 2.15B represents just 0.12x of SG&A expenses of 18.16B, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Short-term investments of 46.54B exceed receivables of 2.13B by 21.88x, indicating potentially inefficient capital allocation given collection cycle needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Internet Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AMZN Amazon Com Inc 2,526.56 Bn 33.03 3.65 135.42 Bn
2 BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 395.87 Bn 22.47 2.79 39.55 Bn
3 PDD PDD Holdings Inc. 149.89 Bn 10.44 2.55 1.50 Bn
4 MELI Mercadolibre Inc 106.40 Bn 51.23 4.06 9.88 Bn
5 DASH DoorDash, Inc. 88.88 Bn 103.00 7.03 3.26 Bn
6 SE Sea Ltd 73.28 Bn 51.67 3.48 4.24 Bn
7 EBAY Ebay Inc 64.91 Bn 5.04 6.46 7.02 Bn
8 JD JD.com, Inc. 42.35 Bn 9.36 0.23 15.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets -0.13 1.64
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -0.71 10.76
EV to Debt EV to Debt -7.43 18.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -0.66 20.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -0.73 20.75
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -0.71 16.58
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap -0.07 -3.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev -0.19 -4.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.73 5.50
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 10.44 36.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -93.84
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -203.90
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.08
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -3.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 -1,581.43
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -65.68 -39.45
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 30.00 53.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -5.55 37.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -62.59
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -5.04 8.33
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -5.03 -10.66
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -6.67 13.44
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -13.44 -46.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.67 23.19
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.10 1.17
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 -0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.75 2.14
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.36 3.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.03 0.52
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -1,581.43
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 -1,581.43
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 0.00 4.40
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 205.22 -36.99
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 28.82 -40.80
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 56.60 44.74
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 24.40 -40.62