Patria Investments Ltd (NASDAQ: PAX)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Asset Management CIK: 0001825570
Market Cap 2.14 Bn
P/B 29.90
P/E 49.03
P/S 20.26
ROIC (Qtr) 0.00
Div Yield % 1.10
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.77
Total Debt (Qtr) 0.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00
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About

Patria Investments Ltd, also known as Patria, is a prominent global alternative investment firm with a focus on Latin America. Its stock symbol is PAX. The company was established in 1988 in Brazil as a M&A and financial advisory firm, and has since developed into a comprehensive asset manager, offering a variety of products across multiple asset classes, including private equity, infrastructure, credit, public equities, and real estate. The company's operations span across various countries in Latin America, with a wide range of business activities....

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 268.78M provides strong 15.71x coverage of stock compensation 17.11M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 268.78M provides exceptional 67.74x coverage of minority interest expenses 3.97M, showing strong core operations.
  • Robust free cash flow of 256.24M exceeds capital expenditure of 12.54M by 20.44x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 268.78M provides 5.41x coverage of SG&A expenses 49.66M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 268.78M provides strong 16.35x coverage of operating expenses 16.44M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 268.78M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (94.23M) with a -2.85 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 0 provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (11.60M), which is -0x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 268.78M provides minimal -74.83x coverage of tax expenses of (3.59M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 256.24M represents just -6.40x of debt issuance (40.01M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 49.66M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Asset Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BLK BlackRock, Inc. 199.59 Bn 85.40 21.98 15.04 Bn
2 BN BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 103.94 Bn 31.52 5.64 262.97 Bn
3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc 88.69 Bn 55.02 7.20 5.89 Bn
4 BX Blackstone Inc. 88.51 Bn 49.39 10.93 12.89 Bn
5 KKR KKR & Co. Inc. 55.86 Bn 28.33 13.23 53.12 Bn
6 STT State Street Corp 46.52 Bn 21.77 3.91 34.72 Bn
7 NTRS Northern Trust Corp 34.14 Bn 33.31 6.71 15.64 Bn
8 RJF Raymond James Financial Inc 32.89 Bn 37.63 4.14 5.10 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.00 0.94
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 53.34 41.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.00 15.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 46.12 23.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 35.28 47.80
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 55.32 38.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.98 7.81
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 19.95 27.38
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 29.90 2.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 49.03 11.81
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.13 4.66
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 88.30 -5.56
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.60 1.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 37.34 49.83
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.07 25.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -20.86 -35.10
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 15.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -31.82 1.65
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 48.58 -90.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 20.58 35.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 15.55 -22.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 30.01 -163.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 59.25 -20.61
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 71.89 220.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 14.58 -53.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.33 0.36
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.38
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.86
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 0.70
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.07 25.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.07 25.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 41.40 -114.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 37.53 -127.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 25.32 -150.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 52.20 67.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 26.20 -148.68