Oatly Group AB (NASDAQ: OTLY)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0001843586
Market Cap 357.79 Mn
P/B 19.28
P/E -2.34
P/S 0.41
ROIC (Qtr) -13.22
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 9.08
Total Debt (Qtr) 560.24 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 30.19
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About

Oatly Group AB, commonly referred to as Oatly, is a Swedish company that specializes in plant-based dairy alternatives made from oats. Established in 1994, Oatly is the world's original and largest oatmilk company, operating in over 20 countries across three continents. The company offers a diverse portfolio of products that cater to various customer segments, generating revenue through the sale of its plant-based dairy alternatives, including oatmilk, Oatgurt, frozen desserts, cooking cream, and spreads. Oatly's main business activities revolve...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Cash position of 64.34M provides exceptional 187.05x coverage of minority interest expenses 344000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Tangible assets of 649.45M provide robust 4.70x coverage of other current liabilities 138.11M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 64.34M provide solid 23.86x coverage of other non-current liabilities 2.70M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 64.34M provide comfortable 39.19x coverage of tax obligations 1.64M, showing strong fiscal management.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 649.45M provides 4.71x coverage of intangibles 137.75M, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of (15.54M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 18.57M, which is -0.84x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (23.72M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 13.26M, with a -1.79 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • High receivables of 167.95M relative to inventory of 68.54M (2.45 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (35.54M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 11.82M, with a -3.01 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (67.39M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 48.57M, with a -1.39 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Geographical areas [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.08 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -35.68 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.51 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -12.56 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -44.18 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -23.81 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.37 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.98 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 19.28 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -2.34 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -0.87 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -48.90 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -34.95 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 62.38 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 85.93 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 63.74 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 27.07 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 26.47 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 70.95 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 17.15 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.10 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.12 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.48 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 30.19 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -0.87 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -0.87 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -2.20 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -7.81 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -16.76 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 32.10 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -17.70 -1,538.60