Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: NWBI)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001471265
Market Cap 1.55 Bn
P/B 0.84
P/E 13.75
P/S 2.75
ROIC (Qtr) 5.78
Div Yield % 8.26
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 2.02
Total Debt (Qtr) 634.91 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.34

About

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI), a Maryland corporation, is a community-oriented financial institution that operates as a bank holding company, with its primary subsidiary being Northwest Bank, a Pennsylvania-chartered savings bank. The company offers a range of financial services, including personal and business banking, investment management, and trust services. Northwest Bank operates 142 community-banking locations across Pennsylvania, western New York, northeastern Ohio, and Indiana. The bank's lending activities are focused on originating...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 15.89B provides 25.03x coverage of total debt 634.91M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 70.25M provides strong 11.23x coverage of stock compensation 6.26M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 60.92M exceeds capital expenditure of 9.33M by 6.53x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash reserves of 278.82M provide ample 9.02x coverage of acquisition spending 30.90M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 15.89B provides 514.41x coverage of acquisition spending 30.90M, enabling strategic growth.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 70.25M barely covers its investment activities of 311.13M, with a coverage ratio of 0.23, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 70.25M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (106.05M) with a -0.66 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 60.92M represents just -0.26x of debt issuance (233M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 70.25M barely covers operating expenses of 69.13M with a 1.02 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Retained earnings of 672.84M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (87.26M), which is -7.71x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.11 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 25.31 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.80 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 12.14 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.74 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.18 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.14 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.15 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.84 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 13.75 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.07 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 90.90 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.80 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 191.85 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3.41 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 22.89 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 33.33 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 17.10 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 0.82 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 18.09 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 18.09 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 15.79 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -74.70 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.71 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.33 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.34 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 26.80 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 25.94 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 25.94 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 20.00 115.63