Novavax Inc (NASDAQ: NVAX)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Biotechnology CIK: 0001000694
Market Cap 1.34 Bn
P/B -8.53
P/E 3.91
P/S 1.26
ROIC (Qtr) 170.00
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -16.64
Total Debt (Qtr) 251.14 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -1.60

About

Novavax Inc. (NVAX) is a biotechnology company that operates in the healthcare industry, specializing in the development and commercialization of innovative vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases. The company's proprietary recombinant technology platform and Matrix-M adjuvant enable the efficient production of highly immunogenic nanoparticle vaccines designed to address urgent global health needs. Novavax generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its vaccine candidates. The company's COVID-19 vaccine,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 278.84M provide 55.37x coverage of short-term debt 5.04M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.07B provides 4.25x coverage of total debt 251.14M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Short-term investments of 494.87M provide solid 1.21x coverage of other current liabilities 409.61M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Retained earnings of (4.59B) represent substantial 29.27x of equity (156.67M), indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • R&D investment of 370.82M represents healthy 0.74x of deferred revenue 501.36M, indicating strong future innovation pipeline.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (378.32M) barely covers its investment activities of 45.26M, with a coverage ratio of -8.36, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of 45.26M provide weak support for R&D spending of 370.82M, which is 0.12x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 278.84M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of 192.64M, which is 1.45x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of (378.32M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 501.36M, which is -0.75x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (378.32M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 38.50M, with a -9.83 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Biotechnology
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. 1,151.25 Bn -1,249.17 0.00 0.01 Bn
2 ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. 485.22 Bn 7,078.40 97.58 1.90 Bn
3 VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma 122.74 Bn 33.40 10.47 1.83 Bn
4 REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 82.16 Bn 18.24 5.73 2.71 Bn
5 ARGX Argenx Se 48.85 Bn 32.43 25,472.44 -
6 ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 46.12 Bn 1,058.58 14.37 3.21 Bn
7 BNTC Benitec Biopharma Inc. 42.24 Bn -1,010.00 0.00 0.00 Bn
8 INSM INSMED Inc 28.75 Bn -24.29 64.32 0.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.10 11.11
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -3.44 26.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.18 688.48
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 3.47 -10.97
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 3.80 8.32
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -3.38 25.03
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.97 163.46
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.22 148.57
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -8.53 20.73
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 3.91 -0.34
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -12.47
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 0.17
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.14
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 15.43 860.86
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 70.23 -26.99
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -52.27 756.75
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 236.38 -53.03
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 234.50 -4.42
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 242.51 -62.56
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 225.36 -19.19
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 196.35 -4.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -242.44 -33.40
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 73.19 264.38
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.90 0.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.65 3.81
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.27 7.25
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -1.60 0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 15.43 860.86
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 15.43 860.86
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 38.50 -17,746.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 35.22 -18,101.92
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 32.94 -18,961.86
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 91.80 -9.24
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 32.10 -18,911.61