Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Diagnostics & Research CIK: 0001604821
Market Cap 31.64 Bn
P/B 25.26
P/E -102.32
P/S 14.95
ROIC (Qtr) -24.61
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 34.66
Total Debt (Qtr) 184.72 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.15

About

Natera, Inc., a company that trades under the symbol NTRA, operates in the healthcare industry with a focus on women's health, oncology, and organ health. The company specializes in developing and commercializing molecular and bioinformatics technologies to detect genetic variations in DNA. Natera's main business activities involve the creation and sale of a range of products and services. These include non-invasive prenatal tests (NIPTs), carrier screening tests, and other diagnostic tests. The company's primary products include Panorama, Horizon,...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 194.30M provides robust 1.05x coverage of total debt 184.72M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.04B provide 12.96x coverage of short-term debt 80.34M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.82B provides 9.86x coverage of total debt 184.72M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 194.30M provides exceptional 44.45x coverage of interest expenses 4.37M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Tangible assets of 1.82B provide exceptional 40.76x coverage of deferred revenue 44.68M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 194.30M barely covers its investment activities of (71.73M), with a coverage ratio of -2.71, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (71.73M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 578.38M, which is -0.12x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 194.30M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 333.75M, with a 0.58 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • High receivables of 286.38M relative to inventory of 64.64M (4.43 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 194.30M provides minimal -277.57x coverage of tax expenses of (700000), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Diagnostics & Research
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. 234.48 Bn 35.69 5.36 35.68 Bn
2 DHR Danaher Corp /De/ 171.11 Bn 48.85 7.05 16.86 Bn
3 IDXX Idexx Laboratories Inc /De 57.62 Bn 56.08 13.83 1.09 Bn
4 IQV Iqvia Holdings Inc. 42.37 Bn 33.03 2.66 15.19 Bn
5 A Agilent Technologies, Inc. 42.16 Bn 32.36 6.07 3.35 Bn
6 NTRA Natera, Inc. 31.64 Bn -102.32 14.95 0.18 Bn
7 MTD Mettler Toledo International Inc/ 30.89 Bn 36.96 7.84 2.21 Bn
8 WAT Waters Corp /De/ 23.59 Bn 36.37 7.60 1.49 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 16.92 2.82
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 158.62 19.55
EV to Debt EV to Debt 166.84 54.87
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -100.87 18.82
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -104.20 4.36
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 290.57 17.63
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.97 1.58
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 14.56 5.06
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 25.26 1.35
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -102.32 18.88
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -2.00
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.94
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -69.90 -128.90
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -51.20 -35.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 16.64 23.84
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.25
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -50.90 9.72
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -49.90 -444.66
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -52.83 8.29
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -45.87 -6.03
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -30.11 15.59
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 419.62 56.57
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 52.53 185.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.16 0.57
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.36 1.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.27 2.70
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.15 -0.84
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -69.90 -128.90
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -69.90 -128.90
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -11.80 -97.22
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -14.43 -115.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -14.64 -114.24
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 63.70 44.76
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -14.60 -113.12