National Storage Affiliates Trust (NYSE: NSA)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Industrial CIK: 0001618563
Market Cap 529.79 Mn
P/B 2.24
P/E 42.59
P/S 3.96
ROIC (Qtr) 6.07
Div Yield % 3.26
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.54
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.43 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.52
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About

National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership and operation of self-storage properties, with its common shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "NSA." The company operates in the self-storage industry, a segment of the real estate market that involves the rental of storage units to customers for their personal or commercial needs. NSA's main business activities include the ownership and operation of self-storage properties, as well as the acquisition...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 345.83M provides strong 29.96x coverage of stock compensation 11.54M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 324.05M exceeds capital expenditure of 21.78M by 14.88x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 345.83M provides 6.91x coverage of SG&A expenses 50.04M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Tangible assets of 5.14B provide exceptional 252.63x coverage of deferred revenue 20.36M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 345.83M provides strong 16.99x coverage of deferred revenue 20.36M, indicating service delivery capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 345.83M barely covers its investment activities of (34.66M), with a coverage ratio of -9.98, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 345.83M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (174.50M) with a -1.98 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 27.87M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (45.59M), which is -0.61x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 232.84M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 190.77M, with a 1.22 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 324.05M represents just -11.47x of debt issuance (28.25M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Industrial
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PLD Prologis, Inc. 131.57 Bn 39.60 14.97 35.04 Bn
2 PSA Public Storage 52.97 Bn 33.41 10.98 10.25 Bn
3 EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. 15.99 Bn 113.72 34.08 13.66 Bn
4 LINE Lineage, Inc. 10.60 Bn -59.87 1.98 7.77 Bn
5 EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc 10.17 Bn 39.51 14.10 1.63 Bn
6 REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. 8.74 Bn 43.69 8.72 3.25 Bn
7 FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc 7.95 Bn 32.11 10.93 2.57 Bn
8 STAG STAG Industrial, Inc. 7.19 Bn 26.29 8.50 3.29 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.20 1.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 20.17 24.26
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.30 3.22
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 30.39 50.75
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.05 19.38
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -8.12 -0.63
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.92 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 7.58 12.09
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.24 2.55
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 42.59 22.14
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.24 -0.46
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 373.80 34.94
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.28 3.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 54.00 25.32
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.44 3.92
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -102.68 -38.11
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -64.47 19.56
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.79 41.56
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -31.58 27.07
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -6.91 9.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -28.40 22.14
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -56.80 19.88
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -65.34 14.36
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -72.79 -604.79
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -7.17 3.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.15 0.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.50 0.34
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.52 1.46
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.44 3.92
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.44 3.92
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 56.00 67.77
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 30.80 40.11
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 9.42 24.24
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 71.10 76.41
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.20 22.54