NeuroPace Inc (NASDAQ: NPCE)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Medical Devices CIK: 0001528287
Market Cap 495.07 Mn
P/B 26.73
P/E -20.64
P/S 5.22
ROIC (Qtr) -20.18
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 29.89
Total Debt (Qtr) 71.18 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.84
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About

NeuroPace Inc, a medical device company with the ticker symbol NPCE, operates in the healthcare sector, specifically focusing on transforming the lives of people living with epilepsy. The company's novel RNS System is the first and only brain-responsive neuromodulation system commercially available, designed to deliver personalized, real-time treatment at the seizure source. NeuroPace's RNS System functions by continuously monitoring and analyzing the brain's electrical activity, recognizing patient-specific abnormal electrical patterns, and responding...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 20.77M provide 10.13x coverage of short-term debt 2.05M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Tangible assets of 107.25M provide exceptional 165.26x coverage of deferred revenue 649000, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of (16.31M) fully covers other non-current liabilities (649000) by 25.13x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Short-term investments of 39.37M provide solid 3.04x coverage of other current liabilities 12.97M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Tangible assets of 107.25M provide robust 8.27x coverage of other current liabilities 12.97M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (16.31M) barely covers its investment activities of 1.73M, with a coverage ratio of -9.45, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of 1.73M provide weak support for R&D spending of 26.91M, which is 0.06x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of (16.31M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 649000, which is -25.13x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (16.31M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 11.09M, with a -1.47 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (16.58M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 274000, with a -60.52 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Medical Devices
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ABT Abbott Laboratories 173.80 Bn 32.73 5.47 12.94 Bn
2 SYK Stryker Corp 141.15 Bn 43.48 5.62 15.86 Bn
3 MDT Medtronic plc 123.47 Bn 25.92 3.55 29.10 Bn
4 BSX Boston Scientific Corp 112.80 Bn 38.92 5.62 11.44 Bn
5 EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp 45.66 Bn 33.38 7.76 0.70 Bn
6 DXCM Dexcom Inc 27.52 Bn 32.91 5.90 1.34 Bn
7 STE STERIS plc 24.13 Bn 34.08 4.14 2.05 Bn
8 PODD Insulet Corp 17.33 Bn 70.38 6.87 1.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 5.07 2.13
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -33.33 2.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 7.64 17.25
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -34.11 2.89
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -33.25 4.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -32.78 29.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.10 25.09
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.73 32.80
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 26.73 4.73
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -20.64 -2.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 40.22
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.59
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.37
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -1.98 196.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 8.36 -152.08
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 33.66 8,476.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.44
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 17.21 -792.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 23.40 3.79
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 17.21 -301.80
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 14.61 -121.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 24.24 -87.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 1.24 10.43
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 29.04 38.21
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.88 0.55
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.06 1.80
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.86 4.18
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.84 1.20
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -1.98 196.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -1.98 196.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -14.80 -2,396.63
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -16.80 -2,478.60
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -25.28 -2,690.42
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 76.80 30.80
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -25.30 -2,821.53