Medtronic plc (NYSE: MDT)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Medical Devices CIK: 0001613103
Market Cap 123.47 Bn
P/B 2.54
P/E 25.92
P/S 3.55
ROIC (Qtr) 6.96
Div Yield % 2.93
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.64
Total Debt (Qtr) 29.10 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.60
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About

Medtronic plc, known by its ticker symbol MDT, is a prominent player in the global healthcare technology industry. Established in 1949 and headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, Medtronic is dedicated to enhancing human welfare through the application of biomedical engineering in the research, design, manufacture, and sale of products that alleviate pain, restore health, and extend life. Medtronic's operations span across four reportable segments: Cardiovascular Portfolio, Neuroscience Portfolio, Medical Surgical Portfolio, and Diabetes Operating Unit....

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 7.11B provides exceptional 254.04x coverage of minority interest expenses 28M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 7.11B provides strong 15.63x coverage of stock compensation 455M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 7.11B provides exceptional 10.02x coverage of interest expenses 710M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 5.21B exceeds capital expenditure of 1.91B by 2.73x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 32.07B provide full 1.16x coverage of long-term debt 27.68B, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 7.11B barely covers its investment activities of (2.53B), with a coverage ratio of -2.81, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 1.28B against inventory of 6.16B, the 0.21 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 7.11B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (3.61B) with a -1.97 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (2.53B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 2.84B, which is -0.89x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 1.28B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (98M), which is -13.08x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.

Debt Instrument Breakdown of Revenue (2017)

Debt Instrument Breakdown of Revenue (2017)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Medical Devices
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ABT Abbott Laboratories 173.80 Bn 32.73 5.47 12.94 Bn
2 SYK Stryker Corp 141.15 Bn 43.48 5.62 15.86 Bn
3 MDT Medtronic plc 123.47 Bn 25.92 3.55 29.10 Bn
4 BSX Boston Scientific Corp 112.80 Bn 38.92 5.62 11.44 Bn
5 EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp 45.66 Bn 33.38 7.76 0.70 Bn
6 DXCM Dexcom Inc 27.52 Bn 32.91 5.90 1.34 Bn
7 STE STERIS plc 24.13 Bn 34.08 4.14 2.05 Bn
8 PODD Insulet Corp 17.33 Bn 70.38 6.87 1.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.65 2.13
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 21.20 2.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.18 17.25
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 23.64 2.89
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.34 4.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 28.97 29.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.22 25.09
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.34 32.80
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.54 4.73
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 25.92 -2.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.32 40.22
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 75.80 1.59
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.82 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 69.44 -0.37
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8.99 196.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -12.44 -152.08
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -8.03 8,476.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.44 -0.44
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 8.75 -792.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 14.65 3.79
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 8.37 -301.80
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 10.72 -121.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 13.07 -87.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -5.33 10.43
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 6.09 38.21
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.38 0.55
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.40 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.13 1.80
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.42 4.18
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.60 1.20
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8.99 196.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8.99 196.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 27.00 -2,396.63
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 18.36 -2,478.60
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 16.31 -2,690.42
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 65.50 30.80
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 13.70 -2,821.53