Nomad Foods Ltd (NYSE: NOMD)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0001651717
Market Cap 2.32 Bn
P/B 0.83
P/E 13.95
P/S 0.89
ROIC (Qtr) 6.29
Div Yield % 1.34
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.52
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.48 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.82
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About

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) is a prominent player in the European frozen food industry, operating a range of best-in-class food brands within the frozen category. The company's primary business activities encompass manufacturing, marketing, and distributing frozen food products, including fish, vegetables, poultry, meals, pizza, and ice cream, to a diverse customer base that includes supermarkets and large food retail chains across various regions in Europe. Revenue for Nomad Foods is generated predominantly through the sale of its branded products,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 227.76M provide 6.79x coverage of short-term debt 33.53M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 471.41M provides strong 57.24x coverage of stock compensation 8.24M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 372.59M exceeds capital expenditure of 98.82M by 3.77x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.04B provides 71.08x coverage of working capital 28.71M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 2.04B provide robust 7.16x coverage of other current liabilities 284.82M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 471.41M barely covers its investment activities of (88.24M), with a coverage ratio of -5.34, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 471.41M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (107.65M) with a -4.38 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 471.41M barely covers operating expenses of 503.76M with a 0.94 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Tax assets of 46.12M provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 568.71M, which is 0.08x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • Free cash flow of 372.59M represents just -7.76x of debt issuance (48M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.58 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.16 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.73 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.18 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.88 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 13.11 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.85 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.64 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.83 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 13.95 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.05 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 36.00 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.66 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 30.78 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.50 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -12.30 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -38.70 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 10.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 27.43 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 7.00 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 19.65 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 17.73 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 34.29 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 7.62 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 0.84 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.57 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.19 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.17 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.02 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.82 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.50 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.50 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 16.90 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 11.40 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 9.57 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 28.10 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 7.80 -1,538.60