Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE: NLY)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0001043219
Market Cap 13.57 Bn
P/B 0.91
P/E 10.12
P/S 7.94
ROIC (Qtr) 1.33
Div Yield % 12.30
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 637.14
Total Debt (Qtr) 107.02 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 7.18

About

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) is a prominent player in the mortgage finance industry, known for its diversified investment strategies and strong track record of generating net income for its stockholders. The company's business activities are primarily centered on investing in real estate-related assets, capitalizing on the spread between the yield on its investments and the cost of its borrowings and hedging activities. Annaly's investment portfolio spans across various groups, including the Annaly Agency Group, which focuses on Agency...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 2.86B provides exceptional 259.85x coverage of minority interest expenses 10.99M, showing strong core operations.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 2.86B provides 14.85x coverage of SG&A expenses 192.40M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Cash position of 2.10B provides exceptional 190.70x coverage of minority interest expenses 10.99M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 2.10B provide ample 163.70x coverage of acquisition spending 12.81M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Strong free cash flow of 2.86B provides 223.07x coverage of acquisition spending 12.81M, indicating disciplined M&A strategy.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 2.86B barely covers its investment activities of (23.72B), with a coverage ratio of -0.12, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.86B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.76B) with a -1.62 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 2.86B represents just 0.15x of debt issuance 19.15B, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 192.40M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Fixed assets of 0 showing 0x ratio to depreciation of 33.27M indicates aging infrastructure requiring significant near-term capital investment.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 13.57 Bn 10.12 7.94 107.02 Bn
2 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 11.33 Bn 16.49 30.46 95.01 Bn
3 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.34 Bn 17.32 3.51 21.43 Bn
4 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.69 Bn 7.32 1.14 34.97 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.26 Bn 30.37 6.41 15.46 Bn
6 ARR Armour Residential REIT, Inc. 1.84 Bn 35.07 15.78 16.56 Bn
7 DX Dynex Capital Inc 1.60 Bn 9.10 6.93 11.75 Bn
8 ABR Arbor Realty Trust Inc 1.50 Bn 9.82 2.84 10.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.85 0.83
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 37.55 -102.96
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.00 1.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 71.18 -260.73
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 69.15 -16.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 37.55 3.47
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 7.90 9.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 62.71 26.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.91 0.68
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 10.12 -4.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.70 -0.55
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 124.40 29.47
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.75 1.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 63.17 57.60
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 37.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 34.39 24.22
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 5.77 4.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 1,188.27 17.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 749.22 9.86
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 1,128.33 20.98
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 1,128.33 11.17
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 3,257.14 59.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 224.40 59.63
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 433.98 20.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.65 0.83
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 7.18 5.05
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 90.10 137.11
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 88.11 142.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 88.11 129.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 117.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 78.40 125.89