Novagold Resources Inc (NYSE: NG)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Gold CIK: 0001173420
Market Cap 3.62 Bn
P/B 20.47
P/E -40.32
P/S 0.00
ROIC (Qtr) -12.72
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.00
Total Debt (Qtr) 162.62 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.92

About

NOVAGOLD Resources Inc., referred to as NG, is a gold mining company operating in the gold mining industry. Unlike many of its competitors, NOVAGOLD does not currently produce gold or any other minerals, instead focusing on advancing the Donlin Gold project in Alaska. This project is a significant gold deposit, held by Donlin Gold LLC, a company owned equally by wholly-owned subsidiaries of NOVAGOLD and Barrick Gold Corporation. The Donlin Gold project is in the exploration and development stage, with a focus on advancing the project through a...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Long-term investments of 214.95M provide solid 1.32x coverage of long-term debt 162.62M, indicating strategic financial planning.
  • Tangible assets of 345.38M provide robust 140.17x coverage of other current liabilities 2.46M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Long-term investments of 214.95M provide solid 1.77x backing of working capital 121.48M, showing strategic capital allocation.
  • Cash reserves of 125.17M provide solid 130.11x coverage of other non-current liabilities 962000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 125.17M provide robust 26.69x coverage of current liabilities 4.69M, indicating strong short-term solvency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (10.03M) barely covers its investment activities of (236.86M), with a coverage ratio of 0.04, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 125.17M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (230.81M), which is -0.54x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (10.03M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 6.31M, with a -1.59 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of (10.03M) barely covers operating expenses of 19.37M with a -0.52 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • High financing cash flow of 259.50M relative to working capital of 121.48M, which is 2.14x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Gold
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NEM NEWMONT Corp /DE/ 121.63 Bn 16.92 5.66 5.65 Bn
2 AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd 96.06 Bn 27.86 9.09 0.34 Bn
3 B Barrick Mining Corp 82.76 Bn 23.10 5.67 4.71 Bn
4 WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. 56.61 Bn 56.52 30.93 0.01 Bn
5 FNV FRANCO NEVADA Corp 44.11 Bn 47.96 28.52 0.00 Bn
6 KGC Kinross Gold Corp 38.43 Bn 21.85 5.96 1.24 Bn
7 PAAS Pan American Silver Corp 19.78 Bn 31.19 6.08 0.86 Bn
8 AGI Alamos Gold Inc 17.45 Bn 32.41 10.85 0.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 10.03 3.17
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -345.61 -11.55
EV to Debt EV to Debt 21.31 548.67
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -46.02 12.24
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -82.06 3.14
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -345.61 12.17
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.96 1.72
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.00 7.50
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 20.47 5.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -40.32 -1.39
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 1.54
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 5.40
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.17
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 10.25
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -5.11 406.21
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -97.36
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 18.56 130.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -5.27
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -148.06 518.35
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -15.12 53.19
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -153.00 679.30
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -102.93 144.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -92.31 224.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 13.13 171.65
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit Growth (1y) % 0.00 84.25
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.26
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 26.69 3.14
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 26.91 4.90
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.92 0.27
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -5.11 406.21
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -5.11 406.21
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % 0.00 -19.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % 0.00 -44.57
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % 0.00 -34.79
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % 0.00 30.59
Net Profit Margin % Net Profit Margin % 0.00 -40.44