NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ (NASDAQ: NECB)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001847398
Market Cap 300.52 Mn
P/B 0.87
P/E 6.86
P/S 2.93
ROIC (Qtr) 8.73
Div Yield % 5.05
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.10
Total Debt (Qtr) 177.81 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.52

About

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc., or NECB, is a Maryland corporation that operates as a bank holding company in the financial services industry. Its main business activities include the ownership and operation of NorthEast Community Bank, a New York State-chartered savings bank. Headquartered in White Plains, New York, NECB conducts its operations through its main office and eleven branch offices in New York and Massachusetts. NECB generates revenue primarily through the origination of construction loans, multifamily and mixed-use real estate...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.06B provides 11.56x coverage of total debt 177.81M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 50.85M provides strong 12.04x coverage of stock compensation 4.22M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 49.14M exceeds capital expenditure of 1.72M by 28.65x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 50.85M provides 1.72x coverage of SG&A expenses 29.50M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 50.85M provides strong 4.27x coverage of operating expenses 11.90M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 50.85M barely covers its investment activities of (122.24M), with a coverage ratio of -0.42, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 50.85M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (11.92M) with a -4.27 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 50.85M is outpaced by equity issuance of (851000) (-59.76 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 29.50M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Deposit liabilities of 1.52B significantly exceed cash reserves of 64.44M, which is 23.52x, indicating potential liquidity risk in stress scenarios.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.19 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.54 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.16 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.27 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.15 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 7.81 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.28 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.74 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.87 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 6.86 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.68 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 31.60 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.95 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 25.62 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -175.28 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -34.17 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 69.64 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -10.50 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -10.62 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -10.61 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -10.61 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -10.75 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -1.32 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -3.96 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.05 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.23 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.52 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 60.80 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 59.64 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 59.64 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 42.70 115.63