Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NASDAQ: NBIX)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic CIK: 0000914475
Market Cap 14.08 Bn
P/B 4.69
P/E 32.91
P/S 5.25
ROIC (Qtr) 12.03
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 27.78
Total Debt (Qtr) 428.40 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.14

About

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NBIX) is a prominent player in the biopharmaceutical industry, dedicated to researching, developing, and commercializing innovative therapies for neurological, neuroendocrine, and neuropsychiatric disorders. The company's operations span across various countries, with a primary focus on alleviating suffering for individuals with severe and debilitating diseases. Neurocrine Biosciences' primary source of revenue is the sale of its flagship product, INGREZZA (valbenazine), a highly selective VMAT2 inhibitor approved...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 636.80M provides robust 1.49x coverage of total debt 428.40M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 4.23B provides 9.87x coverage of total debt 428.40M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 593.10M exceeds capital expenditure of 43.70M by 13.57x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Short-term investments of 774.60M provide solid 14.42x coverage of other current liabilities 53.70M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Long-term investments of 1.12B provide solid 2.61x coverage of long-term debt 428.40M, indicating strategic financial planning.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 636.80M barely covers its investment activities of (279.80M), with a coverage ratio of -2.28, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (279.80M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 943.10M, which is -0.30x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 636.80M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 225.70M, with a 2.82 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • High receivables of 728M relative to inventory of 69.30M (10.51 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Long-term investments of 1.12B represent a high 1.97x of fixed assets 566.20M, indicating potential overexposure to financial assets versus operational capabilities.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ZTS Zoetis Inc. 56.15 Bn 21.18 5.98 7.27 Bn
2 TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd 48.92 Bn 221.13 1.66 36.24 Bn
3 HLN Haleon plc 46.13 Bn 25.59 3.29 -
4 TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd 35.27 Bn 49.54 2.10 17.07 Bn
5 UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp 21.76 Bn 17.11 6.95 0.00 Bn
6 VTRS Viatris Inc 14.87 Bn -4.03 1.05 14.44 Bn
7 NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc 14.08 Bn 32.91 5.25 0.43 Bn
8 ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc 11.64 Bn 323.29 2.54 4.32 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.34 24.98
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 22.39 -85.40
EV to Debt EV to Debt 33.29 265.88
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 22.68 -32.65
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 23.73 -29.50
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 24.04 -32.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.01 -10.98
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.32 -700.14
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.69 27.22
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 32.91 -122.96
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.34
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.81
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.08
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 -38.10
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -20.39 -157.22
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -2.55 44,776.25
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 2.81
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 10.91 24.45
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -1.25 18.14
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 20.51 37.66
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 20.51 108.18
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 11.66 52.88
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 34.76 -54.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 19.43 25.28
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.63 0.50
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.53 2.10
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.38 3.92
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.14 -1.11
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -38.10
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 -38.10
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 25.30 -62,432.09
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 23.43 -63,260.88
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 23.43 -66,726.96
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 98.40 8,332.72
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 16.00 -66,728.37