Marzetti Co (NASDAQ: MZTI)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0000057515
Market Cap 4.36 Bn
P/B 4.22
P/E 24.22
P/S 2.24
ROIC (Qtr) 16.21
Div Yield % 2.43
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.70
Total Debt (Qtr) 38.77 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.04
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About

Lancaster Colony Corporation, or LANC, is a prominent player in the specialty food industry, with a focus on manufacturing and marketing a range of products for both retail and foodservice channels. The company's mission is to nourish growth through its operations, while its vision is to be "The Better Food Company," emphasizing a people-centric approach and a commitment to making high-quality food products. LANC's operations are divided into two main segments. The Retail segment is responsible for manufacturing and selling a variety of products,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 292.11M provides robust 7.54x coverage of total debt 38.77M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 292.11M provides strong 31.26x coverage of stock compensation 9.35M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.11B provides 28.53x coverage of total debt 38.77M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 230.18M exceeds capital expenditure of 61.93M by 3.72x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 292.11M provides solid 1.62x coverage of current liabilities 180.66M, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 292.11M barely covers its investment activities of (155.31M), with a coverage ratio of -1.88, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 292.11M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (106.29M) with a -2.75 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 201.58M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (78.82M), which is -2.56x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 230.18M represents just -111.25x of debt issuance (2.07M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 292.11M is outpaced by equity issuance of (27.74M) (-10.53 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.17 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.43 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 108.75 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 18.37 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.53 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 18.32 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.97 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.17 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.22 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 24.22 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.69 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 58.90 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.85 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 45.83 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -18.80 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -0.73 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 5.48 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 14.69 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 15.10 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 13.70 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 13.70 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 14.74 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 24.15 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.03 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.46 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.30 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.12 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.72 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.04 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.20 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 11.80 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.80 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 24.10 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.30 -1,538.60