MSCI Inc. (NYSE: MSCI)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Financial Data & Stock Exchanges CIK: 0001408198
Market Cap 43.97 Bn
P/B -22.95
P/E 35.94
P/S 14.39
ROIC (Qtr) 36.48
Div Yield % 1.55
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 9.48
Total Debt (Qtr) 5.62 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -2.93

About

MSCI Inc., commonly recognized by its stock symbol MSCI, operates in the investment industry, providing critical decision support tools and solutions for the global investment community. The company's mission is to help investors navigate the challenges of a transforming investment landscape and make better investment decisions. MSCI's offerings are designed to equip investors with insights to adapt and understand a complex and rapidly changing marketplace. MSCI's primary business activities revolve around the provision of indexes, analytics, ESG...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B provides strong 13.96x coverage of stock compensation 108.74M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.39B exceeds capital expenditure of 129.53M by 10.72x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.52B provides 3.07x coverage of SG&A expenses 495.24M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B provides solid 1.02x coverage of current liabilities 1.48B, showing strong operational health.
  • Free cash flow of 1.39B provides robust 7.94x coverage of R&D expenses 174.94M, enabling sustainable innovation investment.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B barely covers its investment activities of (130.35M), with a coverage ratio of -11.65, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (130.35M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 174.94M, which is -0.75x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.52B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (546.51M) with a -2.78 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High financing cash flow of (1.49B) relative to working capital of (175.52M), which is 8.48x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.
  • Retained earnings of 5.28B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (53.77M), which is -98.17x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SPGI S&P Global Inc. 157.13 Bn 37.25 10.47 11.87 Bn
2 CME Cme Group Inc. 96.82 Bn 26.05 15.13 152.46 Bn
3 ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 91.82 Bn 29.04 7.33 19.51 Bn
4 MCO Moodys Corp /De/ 90.39 Bn 40.28 12.05 7.36 Bn
5 COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. 62.10 Bn 19.30 8.10 7.59 Bn
6 NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. 54.56 Bn 33.58 6.68 9.55 Bn
7 MSCI MSCI Inc. 43.97 Bn 35.94 14.39 5.62 Bn
8 CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. 25.92 Bn 26.50 5.61 1.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 8.95 2.79
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 31.78 33.08
EV to Debt EV to Debt 8.59 17.54
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 29.05 18.27
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 25.79 20.66
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 34.75 -39.00
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.10 1.08
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 15.79 29.85
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -22.95 -0.11
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 35.94 23.23
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.24 2.12
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 44.30 32.37
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 7.00 2.63
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 38.55 26.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8.66 8.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -28.25 -11.26
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -20.14 21.19
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 13.27 1.08
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 1.57 10.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 10.32 15.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 0.78 17.06
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 0.55 21.11
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 3.54 31.00
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 2.17 30.56
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 9.56 13.67
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.57 0.61
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.33 0.24
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 0.51
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.88 1.97
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -2.93 0.56
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8.66 8.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8.66 8.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 61.40 -985.15
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 54.35 -991.90
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 48.07 -1,071.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 82.40 72.61
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 40.00 -1,440.85