Monro, Inc. (NASDAQ: MNRO)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Auto Parts CIK: 0000876427
Market Cap 585.88 Mn
P/B 0.97
P/E -46.79
P/S 0.50
ROIC (Qtr) 0.10
Div Yield % 4.99
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -4.05
Total Debt (Qtr) 485.76 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.80
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About

Monro, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol MNRO, is a significant player in the retail tire and automotive repair industry in the United States. The company boasts an extensive network of stores operating under various brand names, including Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towery's Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, and Tire Barn Warehouse. As of March 30, 2024, Monro operated 1,288 retail tire and...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 77.14M provides strong 17.81x coverage of stock compensation 4.33M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 825.16M provide exceptional 60.32x coverage of deferred revenue 13.68M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 49.63M exceeds capital expenditure of 27.51M by 1.80x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 597.18M provide full 1.46x coverage of long-term debt 409.43M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Operating cash flow of 77.14M provides strong 5.64x coverage of deferred revenue 13.68M, indicating service delivery capability.

Bear case

  • With cash reserves of 4.91M against inventory of 153.28M, the 0.03 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 77.14M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (35.27M) with a -2.19 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 4.91M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of 33.14M, which is 0.15x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 77.14M provides minimal -23.63x coverage of tax expenses of (3.27M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of 1.79M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 63.16M, with a 0.03 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Auto Parts
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ORLY O Reilly Automotive Inc 79.05 Bn 31.82 4.53 8.40 Bn
2 AZO Autozone Inc 62.61 Bn 25.41 3.25 12.05 Bn
3 ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc 21.28 Bn 43.99 10.65 2.40 Bn
4 MGA Magna International Inc 18.84 Bn 22.73 0.45 6.69 Bn
5 GPC Genuine Parts Co 18.74 Bn 27.28 1.22 6.40 Bn
6 APTV Aptiv PLC 18.21 Bn 110.36 0.89 7.95 Bn
7 BWA Borgwarner Inc 13.42 Bn 48.46 0.94 3.90 Bn
8 MOD Modine Manufacturing Co 11.46 Bn 117.21 3.99 0.62 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.69 1.25
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 13.95 14.01
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.22 36.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 601.03 21.23
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.67 9.40
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 21.69 -2.78
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.84 1.79
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.91 3.03
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.97 0.00
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -46.79 12.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.35 1.87
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -233.30 13.37
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.12 0.42
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 67.76 14.12
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.10 -114.22
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -0.92 -15.53
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -51.66 20.52
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 2.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -95.77 35.51
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -44.76 -1.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -96.22 -6.91
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -156.62 -105.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -175.00 -467.53
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -29.56 15.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.82 23.99
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.75 0.92
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.34 0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.72
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.46 2.95
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.80 0.09
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.10 -114.22
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.10 -114.22
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 5.50 -988.62
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 0.15 -1,028.09
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -1.34 -1,019.44
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 34.80 -124.68
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1.10 -1,011.37