AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (NYSE: MITT)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0001514281
Market Cap 261.44 Mn
P/B 0.47
P/E 9.26
P/S 2.98
ROIC (Qtr) 0.55
Div Yield % 9.51
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 16.01
Total Debt (Qtr) 8.36 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 14.94

About

AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT), a company that trades under the symbol MITT, is a residential mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) operating in the U.S. mortgage market. Its primary objective is to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders through dividends and capital appreciation. MITT's main business activities revolve around investing in a diversified portfolio of residential mortgage-related assets. These investments are spread across various segments, including non-agency loans, agency-eligible loans,...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 56.55M provides strong 81.96x coverage of stock compensation 690000, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 56.55M provides 6.09x coverage of SG&A expenses 9.28M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong free cash flow of 56.55M provides 6.09x coverage of SG&A expenses 9.28M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 56.55M provides solid 1.76x coverage of operating expenses 32.15M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 56.55M barely covers its investment activities of (2.03B), with a coverage ratio of -0.03, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 56.55M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (23.40M) with a -2.42 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 76.81M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (114000), which is -673.75x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 56.55M represents just 0.03x of debt issuance 1.98B, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 9.28M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 13.57 Bn 10.12 7.94 107.02 Bn
2 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 11.33 Bn 16.49 30.46 95.01 Bn
3 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.34 Bn 17.32 3.51 21.43 Bn
4 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.69 Bn 7.32 1.14 34.97 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.26 Bn 30.37 6.41 15.46 Bn
6 ARR Armour Residential REIT, Inc. 1.84 Bn 35.07 15.78 16.56 Bn
7 DX Dynex Capital Inc 1.60 Bn 9.10 6.93 11.75 Bn
8 ABR Arbor Realty Trust Inc 1.50 Bn 9.82 2.84 10.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.78 0.83
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 124.47 -102.96
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.84 1.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 139.78 -260.73
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 152.18 -16.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 124.47 3.47
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 26.92 9.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 80.28 26.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.47 0.68
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.26 -4.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.63 -0.55
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 88.00 29.47
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.81 1.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 44.48 57.60
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 37.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -32.75 24.22
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 22.73 4.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -35.34 17.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -39.74 9.86
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -34.46 20.98
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -34.46 11.17
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -61.34 59.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 12.65 59.63
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -20.96 20.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.67 0.83
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 14.94 5.05
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 57.40 137.11
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 57.43 142.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 57.43 129.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 117.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 32.20 125.89