Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. (NYSE: MEG)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Waste Management CIK: 0001643615
Market Cap 858.54 Mn
P/B 1.87
P/E -30.94
P/S 1.04
ROIC (Qtr) -0.50
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 25.86
Total Debt (Qtr) 369.34 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.81

About

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc., referred to as MEG, operates in the environmental services industry. The company offers a diverse range of solutions to clients across various sectors, with its main business activities divided into three segments: Assessment, Permitting and Response; Measurement and Analysis; and Remediation and Reuse. The Assessment, Permitting and Response segment offers scientific advisory and consulting services to support environmental assessments, emergency response, and recovery. This segment, which forms the foundation...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 73.95M exceeds capital expenditure of 13.55M by 5.46x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 383.81M provides 3.78x coverage of working capital 101.62M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 383.81M provide robust 6.20x coverage of other current liabilities 61.91M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Strong free cash flow of 73.95M provides 1422.13x coverage of acquisition spending 52000, indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Cash reserves of 6.74M provide ample 129.54x coverage of acquisition spending 52000, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 87.50M barely covers its investment activities of (13.46M), with a coverage ratio of -6.50, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 87.50M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 63.58M, with a 1.38 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 13.12M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 57.52M, with a 0.23 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 57.52M relative to operating cash flow of 87.50M, which is 0.66x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Cash position of 6.74M provides weak coverage of payables of 64.51M, which is 0.10x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Waste Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 WM Waste Management Inc 99.66 Bn 99.17 7.44 23.36 Bn
2 RSG Republic Services, Inc. 73.30 Bn 99.83 7.97 13.27 Bn
3 WCN Waste Connections, Inc. 42.09 Bn 67.66 4.50 8.96 Bn
4 GFL GFL Environmental Inc. 16.72 Bn 6.39 3.34 5.71 Bn
5 CLH Clean Harbors Inc 13.63 Bn 35.09 2.29 3.02 Bn
6 CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc 6.36 Bn 417.00 3.54 1.23 Bn
7 NVRI ENVIRI Corp 1.48 Bn -8.91 0.66 1.67 Bn
8 MEG Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. 0.86 Bn -30.94 1.04 0.37 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.20 1.86
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 13.48 1.99
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.19 141.65
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 89.89 10.83
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 23.60 -3.88
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 15.95 9.06
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.37 0.66
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.43 8.81
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.87 4.15
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -30.94 33.89
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -4.02 4.52
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.04
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.68 -114.06
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 45.71 -42.93
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -48.36 59.31
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.43
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 281.54 1,182.04
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 71.33 332.85
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 154.86 973.21
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 83.54 159.54
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 43.62 85.89
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 467.28 -19.83
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 27.16 10.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.84 0.60
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.60
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.66 1.57
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.81 0.73
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.68 -114.06
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.68 -114.06
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.50 -42.95
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.59 -56.49
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -0.75 -61.58
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 40.80 17.43
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -3.40 -71.04