Moelis & Co (NYSE: MC)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Capital Markets CIK: 0001596967
Market Cap 5.17 Bn
P/B 9.65
P/E 22.02
P/S 3.52
ROIC (Qtr) 25.46
Div Yield % 4.57
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 30.37
Total Debt (Qtr) 267.74 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.50

About

Moelis & Co (MC), a leading global independent investment bank, operates in the financial services industry, providing strategic and financial advice to a diverse clientele that includes corporations, financial sponsors, governments, and sovereign wealth funds. The company's main business activities revolve around offering multi-disciplinary solutions and exceptional transaction execution, combined with the highest standard of confidentiality and discretion. Moelis & Co's operations span across various countries, with a primary focus on the United...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 552.89M provides robust 2.07x coverage of total debt 267.74M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 552.89M provides exceptional 21.37x coverage of minority interest expenses 25.88M, showing strong core operations.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.52B provides 5.67x coverage of total debt 267.74M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 523.41M exceeds capital expenditure of 29.48M by 17.75x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 1.52B provide exceptional 467.70x coverage of deferred revenue 3.24M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 552.89M barely covers its investment activities of (182.55M), with a coverage ratio of -3.03, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 552.89M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (201.48M) with a -2.74 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 552.89M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 206.72M, with a 2.67 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 552.89M is outpaced by equity issuance of (29.56M) (-18.70 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 1.14B, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Capital Markets
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc 284.23 Bn 17.94 4.84 911.32 Bn
2 MS Morgan Stanley 279.63 Bn 17.97 4.05 353.12 Bn
3 SCHW Schwab Charles Corp 179.33 Bn 23.09 7.83 27.59 Bn
4 HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. 106.92 Bn 48.73 25.43 0.00 Bn
5 CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. 40.97 Bn 261.00 24.22 0.15 Bn
6 IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. 28.23 Bn 30.79 4.75 28.43 Bn
7 LPLA LPL Financial Holdings Inc. 27.60 Bn 33.13 1.77 7.52 Bn
8 FUTU Futu Holdings Ltd 22.89 Bn 18.13 8.54 1.75 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.40 1.07
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 9.34 15.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 19.28 21.89
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 17.14 -0.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 17.88 11.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 9.86 43.08
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.00 -0.05
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.52 12.82
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 9.65 3.09
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 22.02 6.20
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.16 4.22
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 80.20 10.37
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.55 0.70
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 38.25 -8.68
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 37.53
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -95.74 -12,429.64
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 93.36 1,588.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.25 4.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 472.67 270.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 587.58 333.57
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 501.86 3,103.22
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 501.86 3,039.53
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 457.89 24.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 166.48 -80.08
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 51.19 51.33
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.97 0.42
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.35 -0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 2.01
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 3.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.50 1.46
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 37.53
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 37.53
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 21.30 76.68
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.52 46.81
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 20.52 58.57
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 53.60
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 16.00 29.41