LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE: LVWR)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Auto Manufacturers CIK: 0001898795
Market Cap 469.29 Mn
P/B 7.59
P/E -5.85
P/S 18.71
ROIC (Qtr) -116.34
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 28.26
Total Debt (Qtr) 877,000.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01

About

LiveWire Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation, operates in the growing two-wheel electric motorcycle space under the stock symbol LVWR. The company is a leading brand in its industry, having been a subsidiary of AEA-Bridges Impact Corp before merging with Harley-Davidson, Inc. in 2021. LiveWire has two reportable segments: Electric Motorcycles and STACYC. The Electric Motorcycles segment is dedicated to the development and sales of electric motorcycles, as well as parts, accessories, and apparel. These motorcycles are sold through a combination...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 16.32M provide 30.12x coverage of short-term debt 542000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 80.03M provides 91.25x coverage of total debt 877000, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 80.03M provides 3.60x coverage of working capital 22.20M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 80.03M provide robust 5.93x coverage of other current liabilities 13.49M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 16.32M provide comfortable 115.77x coverage of tax obligations 141000, showing strong fiscal management.

Bear case

  • The company's operating cash flow of (67.52M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 4.44M, with a -15.22 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of (67.52M) provides minimal -597.50x coverage of tax expenses of 113000, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of (71.70M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 4.18M, with a -17.13 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (80.16M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 10.33M, with a -7.76 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Tax assets of 15000 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 141000, which is 0.11x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Auto Manufacturers
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TSLA Tesla, Inc. 1,386.72 Bn 263.09 14.50 7.70 Bn
2 TM Toyota Motor Corp/ 286.80 Bn 9.26 0.87 287.20 Bn
3 GM General Motors Co 81.08 Bn 25.50 0.44 130.28 Bn
4 RACE Ferrari N.V. 59.53 Bn 31.60 7.15 3.38 Bn
5 F Ford Motor Co 55.12 Bn 17.49 0.30 161.94 Bn
6 HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd 42.13 Bn 9.65 0.29 88.09 Bn
7 STLA Stellantis N.V. 29.73 Bn -10.57 0.17 -
8 XPEV Xpeng Inc. 17.74 Bn -44.29 1.79 4.87 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 4.94 1.20
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -6.53 5.88
EV to Debt EV to Debt 502.81 28.94
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -5.50 11.38
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -6.07 7.73
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -6.15 8.79
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.94 304,683.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 17.58 16.98
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 7.59 3.04
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -5.85 9.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.04
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 8.74
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 54.28 -59.34
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -81.54 62.23
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 22.99 -1,057.18
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 32.80 -19.82
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 23.07 -1,011.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 23.07 -216.80
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 23.53 -59.11
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 34.05 -21.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 21.74 -10.92
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.68 0.40
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.92 1.21
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01 0.99
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 8.74
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 8.74
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -278.50 -2,589.89
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -319.65 -104,371.67
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -319.65 -3,156.67
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) -39.40 -649.09
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -320.10 -3,158.82