Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: LVLU)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Retail CIK: 0001780201
Market Cap 15.54 Mn
P/B 6.17
P/E -0.34
P/S 0.05
ROIC (Qtr) -164.15
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -8.60
Total Debt (Qtr) 27.34 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 10.85

About

Lulus Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc., or LVLU, operates in the women's fashion industry as a customer-driven, primarily online, digitally-native attainable luxury brand. The company is renowned for its modern, unapologetically feminine designs that cater to a diverse community of Millennial and GenZ women, typically meeting the brand in their 20s and staying with it through their 30s and beyond. Lulus' main business activities revolve around offering a wide range of products, from dresses, tops, bottoms, outerwear, to accessories. These products...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 75.05M provides 2.75x coverage of total debt 27.34M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.62M fully covers other non-current liabilities 899000 by 2.91x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Cash reserves of 1.94M provide solid 2.16x coverage of other non-current liabilities 899000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 75.05M provides 2.65x coverage of intangibles 28.29M, indicating robust asset quality.
  • Tangible assets of 75.05M provide robust 15.84x coverage of receivables 4.74M, showing strong asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 2.62M barely covers its investment activities of (2.09M), with a coverage ratio of -1.25, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 1.94M against inventory of 38.42M, the 0.05 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 2.62M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 5.52M, with a 0.47 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of (46.28M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 9.78M, with a -4.73 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.62M provides minimal -0.77x coverage of tax expenses of (3.39M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Apparel Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TJX Tjx Companies Inc /De/ 175.80 Bn 34.34 2.98 13.19 Bn
2 ROST Ross Stores, Inc. 58.85 Bn 28.21 2.67 5.19 Bn
3 LULU lululemon athletica inc. 25.43 Bn 14.61 2.30 1.76 Bn
4 BURL Burlington Stores, Inc. 18.26 Bn 32.57 1.63 5.94 Bn
5 GAP Gap Inc 10.00 Bn 11.75 0.65 5.52 Bn
6 URBN Urban Outfitters Inc 7.11 Bn 14.53 1.18 1.18 Bn
7 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ 6.17 Bn 11.82 1.19 1.13 Bn
8 BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. 5.78 Bn 27.75 2.79 0.67 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.38 1.35
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 15.00 8.18
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.43 4.33
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -0.85 -60.97
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -1.04 6.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 79.25 22.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.52 2.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.14 1.11
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.17 3.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.34 195.16
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 0.88
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 12.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 16.33
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -20.21 13.58
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 37.78 -5.40
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -69.21 89.63
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.25
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -48.01 13.95
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -136.75 -16.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -90.73 10.85
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -90.02 6.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -44.50 10.94
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 112.52 -129.32
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -11.39 -1.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 2.76 1.40
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.38
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.63 1.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 10.85 1.31
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -20.21 13.58
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -20.21 13.58
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -12.80 2.72
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -16.22 -1.70
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -17.02 -2.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 41.80 40.52
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -15.80 -4.02