Lattice Semiconductor
NASDAQ: LSCC
$135.12 ▲ +4.38  (+3.35%)
At close: Jul 14, 2026 · 2:26 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
Market Cap20.02 Bn
P/E922.73
P/S34.87
Div. Yield0.00
ROIC (Qtr)0.00
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)42.24
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About

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation develops technologies that it monetizes through programmable logic semiconductor products silicon enabling products system solutions design services and technology licenses. The company positions itself as the low power programmable leader serving customers across the network from edge to cloud in communications computing industrial automotive and consumer markets. The company generates revenue primarily from the sale of its field…

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Sector: Technology Industry: Semiconductors CIK: 0000855658

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • The company is benefiting from a broad based expansion in AI infrastructure spending where hyperscale customers are increasing CapEx well above prior expectations. This surge is driving higher attach rates for Lattice FPGAs in server racks and boosting average selling prices as customers opt for higher performance new product families. Management highlighted that the server segment grew 85% year over year in Q2 FY25 and more than doubled in the first half of FY25 versus the first half of FY24. The combination of rising CapEx growing attach rates rising ASP and share gains in AI servers creates a structural tailwind that is likely to persist through FY26 and beyond.
  • Lattice’s companion chip strategy is gaining traction beyond AI accelerators into board management sensor fusion and security applications. The recent partnership with ASPEED to deliver the AST1840 Satellite Management Controller demonstrates how Lattice FPGAs can be integrated with baseboard management controllers to offer flexible programmable control for modern server architectures. This collaboration expands the addressable market for Lattice’s low power FPGAs into datacenter modularity and uptime solutions that are increasingly valued by hyperscale and enterprise customers. The company noted that its FPGAs are being used to preprocess sensor data for far edge AI applications under one watt of power which enhances the efficiency of primary AI chips. These adjacent opportunities are not yet fully reflected in current revenue guidance but represent a meaningful upside driver.
  • New product revenue is on a strong growth trajectory with management indicating that new product sales are expected to reach the high teens of total revenue in FY25 and move into the mid‑20s range in FY26. This implies a year over year increase of approximately 70% in new product sales from FY24 to FY25. The growth is being fueled by AI related server demand as well as adoption in industrial robotics vision systems and security applications. Management emphasized that the company remains on track to exceed its previously discussed 2025 new product revenue goal and that this momentum reflects both product strength and deep customer relationships. The expanding new product mix supports gross margin stability and provides a platform for future operating leverage.
  • The pending acquisition of AMI adds a leading firmware and infrastructure manageability business that is expected to be accretive to non GAAP gross margin free cash flow and earnings per share. The transaction values AMI at 1.65 billion dollars consisting of 1.0 billion dollars in cash and approximately 650 million dollars in Lattice stock subject to customary adjustments. AMI is projected to generate over 200 million dollars of revenue in FY26 and its platform firmware and manageability solutions complement Lattice’s low power FPGAs in server AI and cloud applications. Management stated that the deal supports the company’s trajectory toward a one billion dollar plus annual revenue run rate by the end of FY26. The combination creates a more complete secure management and control offering that could deepen customer lock in and drive cross sell opportunities.
  • Channel inventory in the Industrial and Embedded segment is on a clear path to normalization with point of sale outflows exceeding shipments and backlog levels at record highs. Management noted that POS is increasing in this segment indicating that true demand is beginning to recover after a period of undershipping. The company expects channel inventory to return to normal levels by the end of the calendar year which should unlock pent up demand and translate into stronger sequential growth in the second half of FY25 and into FY26. Record design wins across robotics medical aerospace and defense further reinforce the view that the Industrial and Embedded market is poised for a multi year expansion. This inventory correction is a hidden catalyst that is not yet fully priced into the stock.
▼ Bear case
  • The company’s growth outlook is heavily dependent on continued high levels of hyperscale CapEx particularly for AI infrastructure. Any slowdown in data center spending due to macroeconomic concerns or a shift in capital allocation could reduce attach rates and ASP expansion. Management acknowledged that the server segment growth is tied to the overall CapEx increase indicated by major cloud providers which has recently risen from 38% pre earnings to over 50% post earnings. If this CapEx momentum fades the structural tailwinds that have driven the recent Communications and Computing outperformance could dissipate quickly. The stock may be underestimating the cyclicality of this revenue source.
  • The Industrial and Embedded segment remains below historical levels and the timeline for inventory normalization is uncertain. While management believes channel inventory will be normalized by year end they also admitted that they are undershipping true demand in this segment. If the rebound in demand is slower than expected or if channel partners remain cautious the company could continue to experience lower shipments and revenue in this sector. The segment currently represents a meaningful portion of total revenue and any prolonged weakness would weigh on overall top line growth. Investors may be assuming a faster recovery than the underlying data supports.
  • The acquisition of AMI carries significant integration risk that could dilute the expected accretive benefits. Combining two distinct corporate cultures aligning product roadmaps and retaining key personnel are complex tasks that often take longer and cost more than anticipated. Management did not detail specific integration milestones or potential cost overruns beyond the statement that the deal is expected to be accretive on a non GAAP basis. If integration challenges arise the anticipated margin expansion free cash flow improvement and EPS boost may be delayed or diminished. The large size of the transaction relative to Lattice’s market cap also increases execution risk.
  • Competitive pressures from larger FPGA vendors and the rise of ASICs could limit the upside of Lattice’s companion chip strategy. Companies such as AMD Xilinx and Intel have broader product stacks and deeper relationships with hyperscale customers which may allow them to capture more of the system level value. Management noted that Lattice positions itself as a Switzerland like agnostic partner but did not address how it would respond if major customers chose to develop in house firmware or management solutions. If the companion chip role is supplanted by integrated offerings the company’s growth prospects could be more modest than projected.
  • Macroeconomic headwinds including tariffs geopolitical tensions and currency fluctuations could disrupt Lattice’s global supply chain and affect customer demand. The company sources wafers from Japan and South Korea and assembly and test from Malaysia making it exposed to region specific trade policies. While management stated that country specific tariffs would supersede any potential Section 232 measures they also acknowledged that they are monitoring broader macro impacts on overall demand. An escalation in trade restrictions could increase costs or lead to supply constraints that would pressure margins and growth. These external risks are not fully reflected in the current valuation.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2026)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2026)

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Semiconductors
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 NVDA Nvidia Corp 4,798.43 Bn0.00 Bn18.938.47 Bn
2 MU Micron Technology Inc 1,164.41 Bn0.00 Bn12.905.72 Bn
3 AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc 882.18 Bn0.00 Bn23.553.22 Bn
4 INTC Intel Corp 645.64 Bn0.00 Bn12.0145.03 Bn
5 ALMU Aeluma, Inc. 370.26 Bn0.00 Bn71,258.42-
6 ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk 358.73 Bn427.06 Bn72.91-
7 TXN Texas Instruments Inc 271.25 Bn0.00 Bn14.7114.05 Bn
8 MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. 239.95 Bn0.00 Bn27.534.96 Bn