Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE: LMND)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty CIK: 0001691421
Market Cap 4.72 Bn
P/B 9.14
P/E -27.14
P/S 7.16
ROIC (Qtr) -28.18
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 42.39
Total Debt (Qtr) 139.00 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.27
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About

Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) is a technology-driven insurance company that operates in the insurance industry. The company is renowned for its digital platform that offers a variety of insurance products, including renters, homeowners, pet, car, and life insurance. Lemonade's business model is centered on a customer-centric approach that leverages technology, data, and artificial intelligence to provide a seamless and delightful experience for its customers. The company's primary products are sold through its mobile app and website, making it easy for...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.89B provides 13.61x coverage of total debt 139M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.89B provides 69.80x coverage of intangibles 27.10M, indicating robust asset quality.
  • Strong R&D investment of 90.90M at 9.57x of capex 9.50M shows balanced investment in innovation and infrastructure.
  • Cash position of 355.50M fully covers payables of 24.10M by 14.75x, showing strong vendor relationship management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (23.40M) barely covers its investment activities of (67.70M), with a coverage ratio of 0.35, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (67.70M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 90.90M, which is -0.74x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of (23.40M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 617.90M, which is -0.04x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (23.40M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 60.10M, with a -0.39 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of (178.10M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 17.30M, with a -10.29 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Property & Casualty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ 121.46 Bn 30.80 3.11 6.90 Bn
2 CB Chubb Ltd 109.27 Bn 36.88 5.64 21.01 Bn
3 ALL Allstate Corp 69.21 Bn 29.01 1.62 8.09 Bn
4 TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. 67.61 Bn 10.75 1.38 9.27 Bn
5 HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 61.19 Bn 37.09 3.27 4.37 Bn
6 WRB Berkley W R Corp 38.52 Bn 124.63 8.69 2.87 Bn
7 CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 26.91 Bn 74.14 6.73 0.88 Bn
8 MKL Markel Group Inc. 26.46 Bn 13.00 1.68 4.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.32 0.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -190.35 -16.03
EV to Debt EV to Debt 32.04 11.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -25.01 22.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -27.70 17.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -135.39 68.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.94 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.76 2.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 9.14 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -27.14 29.62
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 7.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 19.66
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 37.69
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -9.19
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -10.47 -17.83
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 5.24 30.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 16.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 19.01 62.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 13.36 35.62
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 13.42 56.25
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 13.42 52.70
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 21.45 48.20
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 34.07 15.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 76.07 16.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.34 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.45
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.02
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.27 0.23
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -9.19
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -9.19
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -24.40 14.01
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -27.04 13.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -27.04 12.25
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 38.10 40.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -26.40 9.63