Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Auto Manufacturers CIK: 0001811210
Market Cap 3.39 Bn
P/B 1.88
P/E -1.08
P/S 3.18
ROIC (Qtr) -73.22
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 68.26
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.22 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.24

About

Lucid Group, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol LCID, is a technology company leading the charge in the electric vehicle (EV) industry. Lucid is dedicated to creating cutting-edge technologies and captivating luxury EVs that prioritize the human experience, aligning with its mission to inspire the adoption of sustainable energy. The company's primary products include the Lucid Air, a state-of-the-art luxury electric sedan, and the Lucid Gravity, a luxury SUV. Lucid Air, the company's flagship product, has received critical acclaim for its...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.64B provide 20.03x coverage of short-term debt 81.63M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 8.82B provides 3.97x coverage of total debt 2.22B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 8.82B provides 5.20x coverage of working capital 1.70B, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 8.82B provide robust 5.41x coverage of other current liabilities 1.63B, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 1.64B provide solid 1.91x coverage of other non-current liabilities 854.72M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of (21.29M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 1.13B, which is -0.02x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (2.55B) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 275.96M, with a -9.24 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (3.38B) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 834.36M, with a -4.05 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (2.21B) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 460.43M, with a -4.81 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of (3.38B) represents just -8.19x of debt issuance 413.29M, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Auto Manufacturers
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TSLA Tesla, Inc. 1,386.72 Bn 263.09 14.50 7.70 Bn
2 TM Toyota Motor Corp/ 286.80 Bn 9.26 0.87 287.20 Bn
3 GM General Motors Co 81.08 Bn 25.50 0.44 130.28 Bn
4 RACE Ferrari N.V. 59.53 Bn 31.60 7.15 3.38 Bn
5 F Ford Motor Co 55.12 Bn 17.49 0.30 161.94 Bn
6 HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd 42.13 Bn 9.65 0.29 88.09 Bn
7 STLA Stellantis N.V. 29.73 Bn -10.57 0.17 -
8 XPEV Xpeng Inc. 17.74 Bn -44.29 1.79 4.87 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.43 1.20
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -1.50 5.88
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.72 28.94
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -1.73 11.38
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -1.41 7.73
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -1.13 8.79
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.13 304,683.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.58 16.98
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.88 3.04
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -1.08 9.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -3.65 0.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.04
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -30.83 8.74
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 3.53 -59.34
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -13.65 62.23
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 24.85 -1,057.18
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 0.47 -19.82
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 24.71 -1,011.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 23.07 -216.80
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 23.93 -59.11
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -19.71 -21.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -7.86 -10.92
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.12 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.78 0.40
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.81 1.21
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.24 0.99
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -30.83 8.74
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -30.83 8.74
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -164.50 -2,589.89
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -207.69 -104,371.67
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -214.42 -3,156.67
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) -97.90 -649.09
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -294.90 -3,158.82