James River Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: JRVR)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Specialty CIK: 0001620459
Market Cap 244.60 Mn
P/B 0.49
P/E -2.89
P/S 0.38
ROIC (Qtr) -1.36
Div Yield % 0.78
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -9.80
Total Debt (Qtr) 329.86 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.65

About

James River Group Holdings, Ltd., or JRVR, operates in the specialty insurance industry, focusing on underwriting small and middle market casualty risks within the U.S. excess and surplus (E&S) lines market. The company's primary goal is to generate compelling returns on tangible equity while limiting underwriting and investment volatility. JRVR's operations are divided into two main segments. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment, which accounts for 66.8% of gross written premiums from continuing operations in 2023, underwrites non-admitted E&S...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 4.74B provides 14.36x coverage of total debt 329.86M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 4.74B provide exceptional 9.68x coverage of deferred revenue 489.10M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 10.40M exceeds capital expenditure of 5.07M by 2.05x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 4.74B provides 22.13x coverage of intangibles 214.01M, indicating robust asset quality.
  • Operating cash flow of 15.47M provides strong 3.05x coverage of capital expenditure 5.07M, enabling organic growth.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 15.47M barely covers its investment activities of (267.61M), with a coverage ratio of -0.06, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 15.47M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.97M) with a -7.88 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 15.47M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 489.10M, which is 0.03x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 15.47M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 7.37M, with a 2.10 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 15.47M provides minimal -25.96x coverage of tax expenses of (596000), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Specialty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNF Fidelity National Financial, Inc. 14.91 Bn 12.76 1.06 4.77 Bn
2 AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd 8.73 Bn 8.89 1.39 1.49 Bn
3 MTG Mgic Investment Corp 7.13 Bn 9.46 5.86 0.65 Bn
4 ESNT Essent Group Ltd. 6.66 Bn 9.47 5.27 0.49 Bn
5 RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. 6.64 Bn 96.02 2.24 3.58 Bn
6 FAF First American Financial Corp 6.33 Bn 13.13 0.89 2.85 Bn
7 ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. 6.06 Bn 9.19 4.95 0.74 Bn
8 RDN Radian Group Inc 5.23 Bn 9.08 4.17 1.13 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.06 0.71
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 20.78 14.19
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.98 23.24
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -12.03 18.43
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -13.56 16.13
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 30.92 16.11
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.33 1.73
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.50 5.55
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.48 1.80
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -2.85 15.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -2.28 2.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -1.80 38.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.04 2.02
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 17.70 72.23
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -1.15 24.83
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 3.99 -23.94
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -30.85 -13.37
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -80.00 6.74
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 81.01 22.43
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -142.03 10.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 79.37 35.06
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 67.75 50.45
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 52.88 37.38
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 103.86 -3.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -34.25 11.39
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.13 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.13 0.51
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.65 0.51
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -1.15 24.83
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -1.15 24.83
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -4.20 36.49
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -4.13 34.57
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -7.73 17.61
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 26.00 74.55
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -13.10 10.79