Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE: JMIA)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Internet Retail CIK: 0001756708
Market Cap 1.41 Bn
P/B 33.70
P/E -16.90
P/S 6.90
ROIC (Qtr) -105.57
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 32.62
Total Debt (Qtr) 14.74 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.35

About

Jumia Technologies AG, commonly known by its stock symbol JMIA, is a leading e-commerce platform operating in Africa. With a presence in 11 countries that account for nearly 70% of Africa's GDP, Jumia is dedicated to enhancing the quality of everyday life in Africa through innovative and affordable online services. Jumia's business model is built around a marketplace, logistics service, and payment service. The marketplace serves as a bridge between sellers and customers, offering a vast array of products across various categories such as phones,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 95.86M provide 18.91x coverage of short-term debt 5.07M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 169.72M provides 11.51x coverage of total debt 14.74M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 169.72M provide exceptional 31.57x coverage of deferred revenue 5.38M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) fully covers other non-current liabilities (3.41M) by 25.11x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 169.72M provides 7.15x coverage of working capital 23.75M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) barely covers its investment activities of 90.01M, with a coverage ratio of -0.95, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 5.38M, which is -15.92x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (85.57M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 5.54M, with a -15.44 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (90.96M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 5.40M, with a -16.86 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) provides minimal -27.05x coverage of tax expenses of 3.16M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Products and services [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Internet Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AMZN Amazon Com Inc 2,526.56 Bn 33.03 3.65 135.42 Bn
2 BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 395.87 Bn 22.47 2.79 39.55 Bn
3 PDD PDD Holdings Inc. 149.89 Bn 10.44 2.55 1.50 Bn
4 MELI Mercadolibre Inc 106.40 Bn 51.23 4.06 9.88 Bn
5 DASH DoorDash, Inc. 88.88 Bn 103.00 7.03 3.26 Bn
6 SE Sea Ltd 73.28 Bn 51.67 3.48 4.24 Bn
7 EBAY Ebay Inc 64.91 Bn 5.04 6.46 7.02 Bn
8 JD JD.com, Inc. 42.35 Bn 9.36 0.23 15.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 7.89 1.64
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -15.65 10.76
EV to Debt EV to Debt 90.89 18.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -19.06 20.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -18.42 20.75
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -14.73 16.58
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.95 -3.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.57 -4.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 33.70 5.50
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -16.90 36.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -93.84
Dividend Payout Ratio % Dividend Payout Ratio % 0.00 -203.90
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.08
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -3.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -7.17 -1,581.43
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -99.91 -39.45
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 0.53 53.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -29.78 37.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -45.34 -62.59
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -23.68 8.33
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 26.52 -10.66
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS Growth (1y) % 0.00 13.44
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -89.47 -46.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -14.04 23.19
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.41 1.17
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 -0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.82 2.14
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.20 3.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.35 0.52
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -7.17 -1,581.43
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -7.17 -1,581.43
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -29.80 4.40
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -29.32 -36.99
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -39.30 -40.80
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 52.80 44.74
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -40.90 -40.62