Hilltop Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HTH)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Financial Conglomerates CIK: 0001265131
Market Cap 3.22 Bn
P/B 1.30
P/E 7.52
P/S 1.58
ROIC (Qtr) 5.62
Div Yield % 1.67
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 4.93
Total Debt (Qtr) 963.58 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.44
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About

Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH), a diversified financial holding company, operates primarily in the business and consumer banking services sector, with its main line of business being to provide these services from offices located throughout Texas through its Bank subsidiary. The company also offers a variety of financial products and services through its broker-dealer and mortgage origination segments, serving customers across the nation. In its banking operations, Hilltop provides traditional banking and wealth, investment, and treasury management...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 15.57B provides 16.16x coverage of total debt 963.58M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Cash position of 1.23B provides exceptional 191.75x coverage of minority interest expenses 6.43M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Retained earnings of 1.27B provide strong 4.67x coverage of intangibles 273.05M, indicating quality earnings retention.
  • Retained earnings of 1.27B represent substantial 0.59x of equity 2.17B, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 15.57B provides 57.03x coverage of intangibles 273.05M, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (38.70M) barely covers its investment activities of (364.85M), with a coverage ratio of 0.11, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of (38.70M) provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (45.40M) with a 0.85 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 19.38M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of (58.08M), with a -0.33 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (38.70M) provides minimal -0.79x coverage of tax expenses of 49.04M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 19.38M represents just -0.05x of debt issuance (357.03M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Financial Conglomerates
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 IX Orix Corp 40.16 Bn 13.32 2.00 43.12 Bn
2 VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. 18.63 Bn 31.13 2.13 3.21 Bn
3 FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. 6.65 Bn 2,496.76 3.24 2.17 Bn
4 HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. 3.22 Bn 7.52 1.58 0.96 Bn
5 TREE LendingTree, Inc. 0.52 Bn 36.42 0.49 0.44 Bn
6 RILY BRC Group Holdings, Inc. 0.20 Bn 0.94 0.23 1.51 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.22 0.57
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 3.24 1.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.63 3.11
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.19 11.84
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 5.83 5.50
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 3.33 2.85
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.08 2.45
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.71 2.03
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.30 1.99
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 7.52 431.02
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.65 5.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 27.30 9.60
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.54 0.46
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 174.76 32.70
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 2.27
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 11,177.09 1,831.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -46.40 17.12
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -21.74 -2.11
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 46.27 65.96
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 35.92 21.08
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 48.78 85.57
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 48.78 41.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 51.72 51.48
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -92.94 20.60
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 7.30 10.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.08 0.37
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.47 -0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.06
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.24
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.44 0.28
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 2.27
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 2.27
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 18.10 18.20
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 16.84 719.79
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 16.84 12.61
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 73.67
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 13.00 10.10