Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining CIK: 0001639877
Market Cap 939.87 Mn
P/B 1.43
P/E 3.03
P/S 0.41
ROIC (Qtr) -28.44
Div Yield % 0.28
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -28.10
Total Debt (Qtr) 250.09 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.32

About

Ferroglobe PLC, a prominent player in the global metals and mining industry, is known by stock symbols FGBO and FGBOY on the OTC markets. The company's primary business activities involve the production and sale of silicon metal, silicon-based alloys, and manganese-based alloys. Ferroglobe operates in various countries, including Spain, the United States, and France, with a diverse customer base spanning over 40 countries. The company's silicon metal segment, one of its largest and most profitable, boasts a global production capacity of approximately...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.40B provides 5.59x coverage of total debt 250.09M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 87.84M provides strong 25.15x coverage of stock compensation 3.49M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 1.40B provide exceptional 42.27x coverage of deferred revenue 33.10M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 1.40B provides 4.30x coverage of working capital 325.09M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 87.84M fully covers other non-current liabilities 80.10M by 1.10x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 87.84M barely covers its investment activities of (64.83M), with a coverage ratio of -1.35, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 87.84M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (10.27M) with a -8.55 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of (96.64M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 74.79M, with a -1.29 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 24.45M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 63.39M, with a 0.39 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • High depreciation of 74.79M relative to operating cash flow of 87.84M, which is 0.85x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Segments [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Products and services [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BHP BHP Group Ltd 162.30 Bn 17.99 3.17 -
2 TECK Teck Resources Ltd 24.54 Bn 27.27 3.23 3.67 Bn
3 MP MP Materials Corp. / DE 10.73 Bn -91.17 46.08 1.00 Bn
4 SKE Skeena Resources Ltd 3.07 Bn -36.58 0.00 0.04 Bn
5 MTRN MATERION Corp 2.85 Bn 87.35 2.45 0.53 Bn
6 VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. 2.28 Bn -205.10 0.00 0.00 Bn
7 SGML Sigma Lithium Corp 1.76 Bn -65.03 15.16 0.12 Bn
8 ALM Almonty Industries Inc. 1.65 Bn -145.44 82.20 0.14 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.75 3.13
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 2.45 -51.74
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.64 863.55
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 2.40 -27.66
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 2.03 566.13
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 2.81 -24.46
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.24 0.59
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.51 42.69
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.43 10.60
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 3.03 -35.19
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -11.48 -16.20
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -8.60 3.46
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.06 0.08
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 42.31 -0.53
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -4.78 51.59
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 23.88 -444.92
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 0.55 3,116.99
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 41.03 -0.80
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -233.31 -69.51
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -113.74 20.12
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -182.02 -24.32
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -278.83 -92.39
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -404.76 -31.76
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -84.39 -5,473.04
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -33.23 9.09
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.89 0.13
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.07 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.25 5.35
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.66 6.87
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.32 0.74
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -4.78 51.59
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -4.78 51.59
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -1.60 -684.18
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -7.04 -696.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -8.51 -788.27
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 32.90 11.29
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -8.60 -790.78