Great Elm Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GECC)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Asset Management CIK: 0001675033
Market Cap 14.61 Mn
P/B 0.18
P/E -0.46
P/S 0.64
ROIC (Qtr) 10.09
Div Yield % 90.29
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -9.25
Total Debt (Qtr) 200.19 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.43
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About

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC), a Maryland corporation, operates as a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company in the financial industry. The company, which began its operations in April 2016, generates revenue through debt and income-generating equity investments, primarily in specialty finance companies. GECC invests in secured and senior secured debt instruments, as well as income-generating equity investments, and its customer base primarily consists of middle-market companies, defined as companies with enterprise...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 10.02M provides 5.99x coverage of SG&A expenses 1.67M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.02M provides strong 3.26x coverage of operating expenses 3.08M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 10.02M provides 5.99x coverage of SG&A expenses 1.67M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 10.02M provides solid 3.26x coverage of operating expenses 3.08M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.02M exceeds receivables of 1.55M by 6.47x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 10.02M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (18.10M) with a -0.55 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 10.02M represents just -0.31x of debt issuance (32.55M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.02M is outpaced by equity issuance of 40.33M (0.25 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Cash position of 0 provides weak coverage of payables of 78.34M, which is 0x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 1.67M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Asset Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BLK BlackRock, Inc. 199.59 Bn 85.40 21.98 15.04 Bn
2 BN BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 103.94 Bn 31.52 5.64 262.97 Bn
3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc 88.69 Bn 55.02 7.20 5.89 Bn
4 BX Blackstone Inc. 88.51 Bn 49.39 10.93 12.89 Bn
5 KKR KKR & Co. Inc. 55.86 Bn 28.33 13.23 53.12 Bn
6 STT State Street Corp 46.52 Bn 21.77 3.91 34.72 Bn
7 NTRS Northern Trust Corp 34.14 Bn 33.31 6.71 15.64 Bn
8 RJF Raymond James Financial Inc 32.89 Bn 37.63 4.14 5.10 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.28 0.94
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 4.27 41.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.58 15.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -5.12 23.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.17 47.80
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 4.27 38.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 8.00 7.81
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.10 27.38
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.18 2.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.46 11.81
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.44 4.66
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -274.50 -5.56
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.51 1.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 185.50 49.83
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.57 25.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -35.10
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 15.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.67 1.65
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -45.35 -90.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 25.46 35.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -45.35 -22.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -234.77 -163.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -178.57 -20.61
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 108.95 220.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 22.07 -53.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.11 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.81 0.36
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.38
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.86
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.43 0.70
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.57 25.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.57 25.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 22.50 -114.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 22.54 -127.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -17.08 -150.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 83.50 67.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -17.10 -148.68