Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (NYSE: GBTG)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Travel Services CIK: 0001820872
Market Cap 2.75 Bn
P/B 1.80
P/E 274.50
P/S 1.09
ROIC (Qtr) 7.56
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 12.90
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.48 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.96
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About

Global Business Travel Group, Inc., often recognized by its American Express Global Business Travel (GBT) moniker, operates as a prominent business-to-business (B2B) software and services company in the travel and expense sector. With a comprehensive suite of technology-driven solutions, GBT caters to the needs of business travelers, business clients, travel content suppliers, and third-party travel agencies. The company is committed to delivering unmatched choice, value, and experience within the industry. GBT generates revenue through two primary...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 427M provide 9.49x coverage of short-term debt 45M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 246M provides exceptional 61.50x coverage of minority interest expenses 4M, showing strong core operations.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.44B provides 8.14x coverage of working capital 300M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Cash position of 427M provides exceptional 106.75x coverage of minority interest expenses 4M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 427M provide solid 0.90x coverage of other non-current liabilities 474M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 246M barely covers its investment activities of (233M), with a coverage ratio of -1.06, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (233M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 480M, which is -0.49x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 427M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (138M), which is -3.09x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 246M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 77M, with a 3.19 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 180M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 172M, with a 1.05 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Travel Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. 176.65 Bn 51.94 12.17 17.53 Bn
2 RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd 87.73 Bn 20.55 4.89 22.04 Bn
3 ABNB Airbnb, Inc. 76.08 Bn 30.30 6.22 2.00 Bn
4 CCL Carnival Corp 42.95 Bn 15.56 1.61 27.99 Bn
5 TCOM Trip.com Group Ltd 36.86 Bn 8.42 4.39 4.49 Bn
6 VIK Viking Holdings Ltd 34.07 Bn 35.81 5.56 5.65 Bn
7 EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. 25.13 Bn 19.42 1.71 6.42 Bn
8 NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 10.73 Bn 16.17 1.11 14.52 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.76 1.63
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.63 25.22
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.44 0.32
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 19.99 8.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.87 8.69
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.02 16.59
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.31 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.43 3.15
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.80 -22.19
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 274.50 47.79
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -2.21
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 29.35
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 2.51
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.02
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.94 2.13
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -20.79 -26.27
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -18.51 879.96
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 17.96
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -24.51 221.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 10.18 -4.91
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 900.00 195.76
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 178.38 69.12
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 104.76 153.49
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -24.39 40.03
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.63 101.51
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.53 0.39
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.32 0.43
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.23 1.11
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.96 -5.94
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.94 2.13
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.94 2.13
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 14.00 -25.59
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.15 -3.90
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.46 -33.52
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 61.00 52.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 0.40 -35.95