Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Travel Services CIK: 0001324424
Market Cap 25.13 Bn
P/B 19.57
P/E 19.42
P/S 1.71
ROIC (Qtr) 20.02
Div Yield % 0.80
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 11.40
Total Debt (Qtr) 6.42 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.00
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About

Expedia Group, Inc., or Expedia, is a prominent player in the online travel industry, operating under the ticker symbol EXPE. The company is dedicated to facilitating global travel for everyone, everywhere, by harnessing its supply portfolio, platform, and technology capabilities to cater to business partners and empower travelers in their journey of researching, planning, booking, and experiencing travel. Expedia's primary business activities involve offering a comprehensive range of travel and advertising services through its renowned consumer...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 3.88B provides robust 0.60x coverage of total debt 6.42B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 6.98B provide 4.12x coverage of short-term debt 1.69B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 16.76B provides 2.61x coverage of total debt 6.42B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.88B provides exceptional 554.29x coverage of minority interest expenses 7M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.88B provides exceptional 12.98x coverage of interest expenses 299M, showing strong debt service capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 3.88B barely covers its investment activities of (531M), with a coverage ratio of -7.31, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.88B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (200M) with a -19.40 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (531M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 1.28B, which is -0.42x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating earnings of 1.88B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 887M, with a 2.12 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 3.11B represents just -52.71x of debt issuance (59M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Travel Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. 176.65 Bn 51.94 12.17 17.53 Bn
2 RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd 87.73 Bn 20.55 4.89 22.04 Bn
3 ABNB Airbnb, Inc. 76.08 Bn 30.30 6.22 2.00 Bn
4 CCL Carnival Corp 42.95 Bn 15.56 1.61 27.99 Bn
5 TCOM Trip.com Group Ltd 36.86 Bn 8.42 4.39 4.49 Bn
6 VIK Viking Holdings Ltd 34.07 Bn 35.81 5.56 5.65 Bn
7 EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. 25.13 Bn 19.42 1.71 6.42 Bn
8 NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 10.73 Bn 16.17 1.11 14.52 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.00 1.63
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 6.27 25.22
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.80 0.32
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 12.93 8.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.83 8.69
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 7.83 16.59
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.97 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.65 3.15
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 19.57 -22.19
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 19.42 47.79
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 6.47 -2.21
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 15.50 29.35
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.60 2.51
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 6.45 7.02
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.30 2.13
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -1.85 -26.27
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 25.15 879.96
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 17.96
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 7.60 221.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 27.86 -4.91
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 4.73 195.76
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 2.06 69.12
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 9.90 153.49
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 33.53 40.03
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.40 101.51
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.60 0.39
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.04 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.42 0.43
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.73 1.11
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.00 -5.94
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.30 2.13
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.30 2.13
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 18.80 -25.59
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.78 -3.90
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.75 -33.52
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 90.10 52.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.80 -35.95