FS Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSBW)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001530249
Market Cap 321.22 Mn
P/B 1.07
P/E 9.94
P/S 2.28
ROIC (Qtr) 5.99
Div Yield % 3.92
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.58
Total Debt (Qtr) 185.94 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.62

About

FS Bancorp, Inc., trading under the symbol FSBW, is a company based in Washington that operates as a holding company for 1st Security Bank. The company is an active player in the financial sector, with its main business activities revolving around the origination of various types of loans, including commercial real estate, one-to-four-family, and home equity loans, as well as consumer loans. Since its establishment in 2011, FS Bancorp, Inc. has grown to become a significant lender in the Puget Sound region. FS Bancorp, Inc.'s primary business model...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 101.04M provides robust 0.54x coverage of total debt 185.94M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.19B provides 17.18x coverage of total debt 185.94M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 101.04M provides strong 46.37x coverage of stock compensation 2.18M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 95.99M exceeds capital expenditure of 5.05M by 19.02x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 101.04M provides strong 4.57x coverage of operating expenses 22.13M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 101.04M barely covers its investment activities of (280.91M), with a coverage ratio of -0.36, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 101.04M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (10.27M) with a -9.84 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 95.99M represents just -2.78x of debt issuance (34.50M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 273.88M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (17.35M), which is -15.78x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 101.04M is outpaced by equity issuance of (13.54M) (-7.46 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.18 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 5.74 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.12 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.26 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.00 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 6.04 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.81 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.11 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.07 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.94 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.15 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 32.00 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.34 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 10.60 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -230.09 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 17.08 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 26.42 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -13.65 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -3.97 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -7.19 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -7.19 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -13.15 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 370.55 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 1.07 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.10 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.62 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.40 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 28.84 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 28.84 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 22.90 115.63